British American Tobacco
BTI is overvalued
NYSE · Consumer Defensive
FAIR PRICE
Updated daily
Model: DCF 50% · Relative 30% · Consensus 20%
$57.48
MARKET PRICE
$49.39
FAIR PRICE
$8.09
MARGIN
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1 investor has set their maximum buying price for BTI. The community zone unlocks at 10.
COMMUNITY MEDIAN
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FPI RATING
Strong profitability and attractive valuation, but limited growth momentum.
Analytical data, not an investment recommendation. Updated daily.
How we calculate this ↗MARGIN OF SAFETY
A 20% margin of safety below fair value — the conservative entry level for risk-aware investors.
SAFETY MARGIN
20%
Below fair value
ENTRY LEVEL
$39.51
Fair price × 0.80
DISTANCE
31.3%
Price to entry level
At the current price of $57.48, BTI trades 31.3% above the conservative entry level of $39.51. This entry level represents a 20% margin of safety below the calculated fair price of $49.39 — a buffer that accounts for estimation uncertainty in the valuation model.
Margin of safety is a risk management concept, not an investment recommendation. The 20% threshold follows Benjamin Graham's value investing framework. Fair price and entry levels are model-based estimates updated daily. Learn more about Margin of Safety ↗
VALUATION HISTORY
SYNCING FEED ▌
P/E RATIO HISTORY
SYNCING FEED ▌
METHODOLOGY
How we calculate BTI's fair price
British American Tobacco's fair price of $49.39 is derived from a blended model that combines DCF analysis (50%), relative valuation against Consumer Defensive peers using metrics like P/E and EV/EBITDA (30%), and analyst consensus (20%). At the current market price of $57.48, BTI trades 14.1% above its calculated fair value.
DCF MODEL · 50%
Discounted free cash flow analysis based on projected cash flows, discounted at a rate reflecting BTI's risk profile.
RELATIVE · 30%
Comparing BTI's valuation multiples against Consumer Defensive peers to determine if the stock is over or undervalued relative to its industry.
ANALYST · 20%
Aggregated analyst price targets for BTI, weighted by recency and analyst accuracy.
TRY IT YOURSELF
Want to test your own assumptions? Use our free calculators to estimate BTI's fair value with your own inputs.
BTI DCF Calculator
Pre-filled with BTI's real free cash flow and share count — set your own growth and discount rate to calculate intrinsic value.
Graham Number
Enter BTI's EPS and book value to see the maximum price Benjamin Graham would pay for this stock.
P/E Ratio Calculator
Check how much investors pay per dollar of BTI's earnings and compare it against sector benchmarks.
EV/EBITDA Calculator
Compare BTI against peers on a debt-adjusted basis using enterprise value and EBITDA.
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What is the fair price of BTI?+
Based on our blended model combining DCF analysis (50%), relative valuation against Consumer Defensive peers (30%), and analyst consensus (20%), the fair price for British American Tobacco is $49.39. At the current market price of $57.48, BTI trades 14.1% above its calculated fair value.
Is BTI overvalued or undervalued?+
British American Tobacco is currently overvalued based on our valuation model. The stock trades at $57.48, which is 14.1% above the fair price of $49.39. The P/E ratio of 11.5x is a key metric in the valuation.
What is the margin of safety for BTI?+
With a 20% margin of safety applied to the fair price of $49.39, the conservative entry level for BTI is $39.51. At the current market price of $57.48, the stock trades 31.3% above this entry level. Margin of safety is a risk management concept from Benjamin Graham's value investing framework, not an investment recommendation.
How often is BTI's fair price updated?+
We update fair price calculations for BTI daily after market close. The current fair price of $49.39 incorporates the latest market data and sector multiples.
What factors affect BTI's fair price calculation?+
BTI's fair price of $49.39 is derived from DCF analysis (50% weight), relative valuation against Consumer Defensive peers (30% weight), and analyst consensus (20% weight). Key metrics include P/E of 11.5x, ROE of 15.6%, and dividend yield of 8.79%.
Is BTI a good buy right now?+
At $57.48, BTI trades 14.1% above our fair value estimate of $49.39. The stock is currently overvalued. ROE stands at 15.6% (strong). Fair Price Index provides valuation data — always do your own research before investing.
Does BTI pay dividends?+
BTI has a dividend yield of 8.79%.
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Fair Price Index is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Fair value calculations are model-based estimates and may not reflect actual market conditions. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions.