MDU Resources Group, Inc.
FAIR PRICE VALUATION
Updated daily
Model: DCF 50% · Relative 30% · Consensus 20%
MARKET PRICE
$22.66
FAIR PRICE
$21.34
MARGIN
$1.32
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FPI RATING
Challenges include expensive valuation relative to fundamentals and below-average fundamental quality.
Analytical data, not an investment recommendation. Updated daily.
How we calculate this ↗MARGIN OF SAFETY
A 20% margin of safety below fair value — the conservative entry level for risk-aware investors.
SAFETY MARGIN
20%
Below fair value
ENTRY LEVEL
$17.07
Fair price × 0.80
DISTANCE
24.6%
Price to entry level
At the current price of $22.66, MDU trades 24.6% above the conservative entry level of $17.07. This entry level represents a 20% margin of safety below the calculated fair price of $21.34 — a buffer that accounts for estimation uncertainty in the valuation model.
Margin of safety is a risk management concept, not an investment recommendation. The 20% threshold follows Benjamin Graham's value investing framework. Fair price and entry levels are model-based estimates updated daily. Learn more about Margin of Safety ↗
VALUATION HISTORY
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P/E RATIO HISTORY
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METHODOLOGY
How we calculate MDU's fair price
MDU Resources Group, Inc.'s fair price of $21.34 is derived from a blended model that combines DCF analysis (50%), relative valuation against Industrials peers using metrics like P/E and EV/EBITDA (30%), and analyst consensus (20%). At the current market price of $22.66, MDU trades 5.8% above its calculated fair value.
DCF MODEL · 50%
Discounted free cash flow analysis based on projected cash flows, discounted at a rate reflecting MDU's risk profile.
RELATIVE · 30%
Comparing MDU's valuation multiples against Industrials peers to determine if the stock is over or undervalued relative to its industry.
ANALYST · 20%
Aggregated analyst price targets for MDU, weighted by recency and analyst accuracy.
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What is the fair price of MDU?+
Based on our blended model combining DCF analysis (50%), relative valuation against Industrials peers (30%), and analyst consensus (20%), the fair price for MDU Resources Group, Inc. is $21.34. At the current market price of $22.66, MDU trades 5.8% above its calculated fair value.
Is MDU overvalued or undervalued?+
MDU Resources Group, Inc. is currently fair based on our valuation model. The stock trades at $22.66, which is 5.8% above the fair price of $21.34. The P/E ratio of 26.5x is a key metric in the valuation.
What is the margin of safety for MDU?+
With a 20% margin of safety applied to the fair price of $21.34, the conservative entry level for MDU is $17.07. At the current market price of $22.66, the stock trades 24.6% above this entry level. Margin of safety is a risk management concept from Benjamin Graham's value investing framework, not an investment recommendation.
How often is MDU's fair price updated?+
We update fair price calculations for MDU daily after market close. The current fair price of $21.34 incorporates the latest market data and sector multiples.
What factors affect MDU's fair price calculation?+
MDU's fair price of $21.34 is derived from DCF analysis (50% weight), relative valuation against Industrials peers (30% weight), and analyst consensus (20% weight). Key metrics include P/E of 26.5x, ROE of 6.2%, and dividend yield of 2.51%.
Is MDU a good buy right now?+
At $22.66, MDU trades 5.8% above our fair value estimate of $21.34. The stock is currently fair. ROE stands at 6.2% (average). Fair Price Index provides valuation data — always do your own research before investing.
Does MDU pay dividends?+
MDU has a dividend yield of 2.51%.
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Fair Price Index is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Fair value calculations are model-based estimates and may not reflect actual market conditions. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions.