The AES Corporation

AES is undervalued

NYSE · Utilities

FAIR PRICE

50.6%upside

Updated daily

Model: DCF 50% · Relative 30% · Consensus 20%

$14.77

MARKET PRICE

$22.24

FAIR PRICE

$7.47

MARGIN

UNDERFAIROVER

COMMUNITY BUY ZONE

UNLOCKS AT 10

Where does the market buy AES?

No one has priced AES yet — be the first. Every investor sets the maximum price they'd still buy at; together that maps the community buy zone.

COMMUNITY MEDIAN

▓▓▓▓▓

BUYERS AT TODAY'S PRICE

▓▓ %

0/10 INVESTORS · 10 MORE TO UNLOCK

METRICS

P/E5.5
P/B2.1
P/S0.8
PEG
DIV YIELD4.78%
ROE37.9%
ROIC4.4%
DEBT/EQ6.50
FCF YIELD-16.4%
MKT CAP$10B

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FPI RATING

4.8/ 10

High-quality fundamentals and attractive valuation, but limited growth momentum and elevated debt levels.

Analytical data, not an investment recommendation. Updated daily.

How we calculate this ↗

MARGIN OF SAFETY

A 20% margin of safety below fair value — the conservative entry level for risk-aware investors.

$17.79CONSERVATIVE ENTRY
$22.24FAIR PRICE
$14.77MARKET PRICE

SAFETY MARGIN

20%

Below fair value

ENTRY LEVEL

$17.79

Fair price × 0.80

DISTANCE

20.5%

Price to entry level

At the current price of $14.77, AES trades 20.5% below the conservative entry level of $17.79. The stock is currently priced below the 20% margin of safety threshold, indicating a potential value opportunity based on the model.

Margin of safety is a risk management concept, not an investment recommendation. The 20% threshold follows Benjamin Graham's value investing framework. Fair price and entry levels are model-based estimates updated daily. Learn more about Margin of Safety ↗

VALUATION HISTORY

SYNCING FEED

P/E RATIO HISTORY

SYNCING FEED

METHODOLOGY

How we calculate AES's fair price

The AES Corporation's fair price of $22.24 is derived from a blended model that combines DCF analysis (50%), relative valuation against Utilities peers using metrics like P/E and EV/EBITDA (30%), and analyst consensus (20%). At the current market price of $14.77, AES trades 50.6% below its calculated fair value.

DCF MODEL · 50%

Discounted free cash flow analysis based on projected cash flows, discounted at a rate reflecting AES's risk profile.

RELATIVE · 30%

Comparing AES's valuation multiples against Utilities peers to determine if the stock is over or undervalued relative to its industry.

ANALYST · 20%

Aggregated analyst price targets for AES, weighted by recency and analyst accuracy.

TRY IT YOURSELF

Want to test your own assumptions? Use our free calculators to estimate AES's fair value with your own inputs.

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FAQ

What is the fair price of AES?+

Based on our blended model combining DCF analysis (50%), relative valuation against Utilities peers (30%), and analyst consensus (20%), the fair price for The AES Corporation is $22.24. At the current market price of $14.77, AES trades 50.6% below its calculated fair value.

Is AES overvalued or undervalued?+

The AES Corporation is currently undervalued based on our valuation model. The stock trades at $14.77, which is 50.6% below the fair price of $22.24. The P/E ratio of 5.5x is a key metric in the valuation.

What is the margin of safety for AES?+

With a 20% margin of safety applied to the fair price of $22.24, the conservative entry level for AES is $17.79. At the current market price of $14.77, the stock trades 20.5% below this entry level. Margin of safety is a risk management concept from Benjamin Graham's value investing framework, not an investment recommendation.

How often is AES's fair price updated?+

We update fair price calculations for AES daily after market close. The current fair price of $22.24 incorporates the latest market data and sector multiples.

What factors affect AES's fair price calculation?+

AES's fair price of $22.24 is derived from DCF analysis (50% weight), relative valuation against Utilities peers (30% weight), and analyst consensus (20% weight). Key metrics include P/E of 5.5x, ROE of 37.9%, and dividend yield of 4.78%.

Is AES a good buy right now?+

At $14.77, AES trades 50.6% below our fair value estimate of $22.24. The stock is currently undervalued. ROE stands at 37.9% (exceptional). Fair Price Index provides valuation data — always do your own research before investing.

Does AES pay dividends?+

AES has a dividend yield of 4.78%.

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Fair Price Index is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Fair value calculations are model-based estimates and may not reflect actual market conditions. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions.