US Foods Holding Corp.

OVERVALUEDUSFD · NYSE · Consumer Defensive
USFD·NYSE·Consumer Defensive
OVERVALUED
US Foods Holding Corp.
22.6%downside
MARKET PRICE
$93.19
FAIR PRICE
$72.13
MARGIN
$21.06
UNDERVALUEDFAIROVERVALUED
P/E RATIO
31.1x
DIV. YIELD
N/A
ROE
15.0%
MARKET CAP
$20B
FPI
fairpriceindex.com

FAIR PRICE VALUATION

22.6%downside

Updated daily

Model: DCF 50% · Relative 30% · Consensus 20%

MARKET PRICE

$93.19

FAIR PRICE

$72.13

MARGIN

$21.06

UNDERVALUEDFAIROVERVALUED

P/E Ratio

31.1x

What is P/E? →

Div. Yield

N/A

ROE

15.0%

Strong

Market Cap

$20B

Large-cap

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FPI RATING

4.4/ 10

Consistent growth trajectory, but elevated debt levels and weak profitability margins.

Analytical data, not an investment recommendation. Updated daily.

How we calculate this ↗

MARGIN OF SAFETY

A 20% margin of safety below fair value — the conservative entry level for risk-aware investors.

$57.70CONSERVATIVE ENTRY
$72.13FAIR PRICE
$93.19MARKET PRICE

SAFETY MARGIN

20%

Below fair value

ENTRY LEVEL

$57.70

Fair price × 0.80

DISTANCE

38.1%

Price to entry level

At the current price of $93.19, USFD trades 38.1% above the conservative entry level of $57.70. This entry level represents a 20% margin of safety below the calculated fair price of $72.13 — a buffer that accounts for estimation uncertainty in the valuation model.

Margin of safety is a risk management concept, not an investment recommendation. The 20% threshold follows Benjamin Graham's value investing framework. Fair price and entry levels are model-based estimates updated daily. Learn more about Margin of Safety ↗

VALUATION HISTORY

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P/E RATIO HISTORY

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METHODOLOGY

How we calculate USFD's fair price

US Foods Holding Corp.'s fair price of $72.13 is derived from a blended model that combines DCF analysis (50%), relative valuation against Consumer Defensive peers using metrics like P/E and EV/EBITDA (30%), and analyst consensus (20%). At the current market price of $93.19, USFD trades 22.6% above its calculated fair value.

DCF MODEL · 50%

Discounted free cash flow analysis based on projected cash flows, discounted at a rate reflecting USFD's risk profile.

RELATIVE · 30%

Comparing USFD's valuation multiples against Consumer Defensive peers to determine if the stock is over or undervalued relative to its industry.

ANALYST · 20%

Aggregated analyst price targets for USFD, weighted by recency and analyst accuracy.

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Want to test your own assumptions? Use our free calculators to estimate USFD's fair value with your own inputs.

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FAQ

What is the fair price of USFD?+

Based on our blended model combining DCF analysis (50%), relative valuation against Consumer Defensive peers (30%), and analyst consensus (20%), the fair price for US Foods Holding Corp. is $72.13. At the current market price of $93.19, USFD trades 22.6% above its calculated fair value.

Is USFD overvalued or undervalued?+

US Foods Holding Corp. is currently overvalued based on our valuation model. The stock trades at $93.19, which is 22.6% above the fair price of $72.13. The P/E ratio of 31.1x is a key metric in the valuation.

What is the margin of safety for USFD?+

With a 20% margin of safety applied to the fair price of $72.13, the conservative entry level for USFD is $57.70. At the current market price of $93.19, the stock trades 38.1% above this entry level. Margin of safety is a risk management concept from Benjamin Graham's value investing framework, not an investment recommendation.

How often is USFD's fair price updated?+

We update fair price calculations for USFD daily after market close. The current fair price of $72.13 incorporates the latest market data and sector multiples.

What factors affect USFD's fair price calculation?+

USFD's fair price of $72.13 is derived from DCF analysis (50% weight), relative valuation against Consumer Defensive peers (30% weight), and analyst consensus (20% weight). Key metrics include P/E of 31.1x, ROE of 15.0%.

Is USFD a good buy right now?+

At $93.19, USFD trades 22.6% above our fair value estimate of $72.13. The stock is currently overvalued. ROE stands at 15.0% (strong). Fair Price Index provides valuation data — always do your own research before investing.

Does USFD pay dividends?+

USFD does not currently pay a dividend.

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Fair Price Index is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Fair value calculations are model-based estimates and may not reflect actual market conditions. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions.