United Natural Foods

OVERVALUEDUNFI · NYSE · Consumer Defensive
UNFI·NYSE·Consumer Defensive
OVERVALUED
United Natural Foods
20.5%downside
MARKET PRICE
$49.65
FAIR PRICE
$39.49
MARGIN
$10.16
UNDERVALUEDFAIROVERVALUED
P/E RATIO
N/A
DIV. YIELD
N/A
ROE
-4.8%
MARKET CAP
$3B
FPI
fairpriceindex.com

FAIR PRICE VALUATION

20.5%downside

Updated daily

Model: DCF 50% · Relative 30% · Consensus 20%

MARKET PRICE

$49.65

FAIR PRICE

$39.49

MARGIN

$10.16

UNDERVALUEDFAIROVERVALUED

P/E Ratio

N/A

Div. Yield

N/A

ROE

-4.8%

Average

Market Cap

$3B

Mid-cap

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FPI RATING

2.9/ 10

Attractive valuation, but limited growth momentum and below-average fundamental quality.

Analytical data, not an investment recommendation. Updated daily.

How we calculate this ↗

MARGIN OF SAFETY

A 20% margin of safety below fair value — the conservative entry level for risk-aware investors.

$31.59CONSERVATIVE ENTRY
$39.49FAIR PRICE
$49.65MARKET PRICE

SAFETY MARGIN

20%

Below fair value

ENTRY LEVEL

$31.59

Fair price × 0.80

DISTANCE

36.4%

Price to entry level

At the current price of $49.65, UNFI trades 36.4% above the conservative entry level of $31.59. This entry level represents a 20% margin of safety below the calculated fair price of $39.49 — a buffer that accounts for estimation uncertainty in the valuation model.

Margin of safety is a risk management concept, not an investment recommendation. The 20% threshold follows Benjamin Graham's value investing framework. Fair price and entry levels are model-based estimates updated daily. Learn more about Margin of Safety ↗

VALUATION HISTORY

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P/E RATIO HISTORY

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METHODOLOGY

How we calculate UNFI's fair price

United Natural Foods's fair price of $39.49 is derived from a blended model that combines DCF analysis (50%), relative valuation against Consumer Defensive peers using metrics like P/E and EV/EBITDA (30%), and analyst consensus (20%). At the current market price of $49.65, UNFI trades 20.5% above its calculated fair value.

DCF MODEL · 50%

Discounted free cash flow analysis based on projected cash flows, discounted at a rate reflecting UNFI's risk profile.

RELATIVE · 30%

Comparing UNFI's valuation multiples against Consumer Defensive peers to determine if the stock is over or undervalued relative to its industry.

ANALYST · 20%

Aggregated analyst price targets for UNFI, weighted by recency and analyst accuracy.

TRY IT YOURSELF

Want to test your own assumptions? Use our free calculators to estimate UNFI's fair value with your own inputs.

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FAQ

What is the fair price of UNFI?+

Based on our blended model combining DCF analysis (50%), relative valuation against Consumer Defensive peers (30%), and analyst consensus (20%), the fair price for United Natural Foods is $39.49. At the current market price of $49.65, UNFI trades 20.5% above its calculated fair value.

Is UNFI overvalued or undervalued?+

United Natural Foods is currently overvalued based on our valuation model. The stock trades at $49.65, which is 20.5% above the fair price of $39.49.

What is the margin of safety for UNFI?+

With a 20% margin of safety applied to the fair price of $39.49, the conservative entry level for UNFI is $31.59. At the current market price of $49.65, the stock trades 36.4% above this entry level. Margin of safety is a risk management concept from Benjamin Graham's value investing framework, not an investment recommendation.

How often is UNFI's fair price updated?+

We update fair price calculations for UNFI daily after market close. The current fair price of $39.49 incorporates the latest market data and sector multiples.

What factors affect UNFI's fair price calculation?+

UNFI's fair price of $39.49 is derived from DCF analysis (50% weight), relative valuation against Consumer Defensive peers (30% weight), and analyst consensus (20% weight)., ROE of -4.8%.

Is UNFI a good buy right now?+

At $49.65, UNFI trades 20.5% above our fair value estimate of $39.49. The stock is currently overvalued. ROE stands at -4.8% (average). Fair Price Index provides valuation data — always do your own research before investing.

Does UNFI pay dividends?+

UNFI does not currently pay a dividend.

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Fair Price Index is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Fair value calculations are model-based estimates and may not reflect actual market conditions. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions.