Supernus Pharmaceuticals, Inc.
FAIR PRICE VALUATION
Updated daily
Model: DCF 50% · Relative 30% · Consensus 20%
MARKET PRICE
$48.31
FAIR PRICE
$45.57
MARGIN
$2.74
P/E Ratio
N/A
Div. Yield
N/A
ROE
-1.6%
Average
Market Cap
$3B
Mid-cap
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FPI RATING
Stable earnings and revenue and attractive valuation, but weak profitability margins and below-average fundamental quality.
Analytical data, not an investment recommendation. Updated daily.
How we calculate this ↗MARGIN OF SAFETY
A 20% margin of safety below fair value — the conservative entry level for risk-aware investors.
SAFETY MARGIN
20%
Below fair value
ENTRY LEVEL
$36.46
Fair price × 0.80
DISTANCE
24.5%
Price to entry level
At the current price of $48.31, SUPN trades 24.5% above the conservative entry level of $36.46. This entry level represents a 20% margin of safety below the calculated fair price of $45.57 — a buffer that accounts for estimation uncertainty in the valuation model.
Margin of safety is a risk management concept, not an investment recommendation. The 20% threshold follows Benjamin Graham's value investing framework. Fair price and entry levels are model-based estimates updated daily. Learn more about Margin of Safety ↗
VALUATION HISTORY
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P/E RATIO HISTORY
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METHODOLOGY
How we calculate SUPN's fair price
Supernus Pharmaceuticals, Inc.'s fair price of $45.57 is derived from a blended model that combines DCF analysis (50%), relative valuation against Healthcare peers using metrics like P/E and EV/EBITDA (30%), and analyst consensus (20%). At the current market price of $48.31, SUPN trades 5.7% above its calculated fair value.
DCF MODEL · 50%
Discounted free cash flow analysis based on projected cash flows, discounted at a rate reflecting SUPN's risk profile.
RELATIVE · 30%
Comparing SUPN's valuation multiples against Healthcare peers to determine if the stock is over or undervalued relative to its industry.
ANALYST · 20%
Aggregated analyst price targets for SUPN, weighted by recency and analyst accuracy.
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Want to test your own assumptions? Use our free calculators to estimate SUPN's fair value with your own inputs.
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What is the fair price of SUPN?+
Based on our blended model combining DCF analysis (50%), relative valuation against Healthcare peers (30%), and analyst consensus (20%), the fair price for Supernus Pharmaceuticals, Inc. is $45.57. At the current market price of $48.31, SUPN trades 5.7% above its calculated fair value.
Is SUPN overvalued or undervalued?+
Supernus Pharmaceuticals, Inc. is currently fair based on our valuation model. The stock trades at $48.31, which is 5.7% above the fair price of $45.57.
What is the margin of safety for SUPN?+
With a 20% margin of safety applied to the fair price of $45.57, the conservative entry level for SUPN is $36.46. At the current market price of $48.31, the stock trades 24.5% above this entry level. Margin of safety is a risk management concept from Benjamin Graham's value investing framework, not an investment recommendation.
How often is SUPN's fair price updated?+
We update fair price calculations for SUPN daily after market close. The current fair price of $45.57 incorporates the latest market data and sector multiples.
What factors affect SUPN's fair price calculation?+
SUPN's fair price of $45.57 is derived from DCF analysis (50% weight), relative valuation against Healthcare peers (30% weight), and analyst consensus (20% weight)., ROE of -1.6%.
Is SUPN a good buy right now?+
At $48.31, SUPN trades 5.7% above our fair value estimate of $45.57. The stock is currently fair. ROE stands at -1.6% (average). Fair Price Index provides valuation data — always do your own research before investing.
Does SUPN pay dividends?+
SUPN does not currently pay a dividend.
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Fair Price Index is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Fair value calculations are model-based estimates and may not reflect actual market conditions. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions.