The Scotts Miracle-Gro
FAIR PRICE VALUATION
Updated daily
Model: DCF 50% · Relative 30% · Consensus 20%
MARKET PRICE
$57.58
FAIR PRICE
$29.19
MARGIN
$28.39
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FPI RATING
Challenges include expensive valuation relative to fundamentals and volatile earnings pattern.
Analytical data, not an investment recommendation. Updated daily.
How we calculate this ↗MARGIN OF SAFETY
A 20% margin of safety below fair value — the conservative entry level for risk-aware investors.
SAFETY MARGIN
20%
Below fair value
ENTRY LEVEL
$23.35
Fair price × 0.80
DISTANCE
59.4%
Price to entry level
At the current price of $57.58, SMG trades 59.4% above the conservative entry level of $23.35. This entry level represents a 20% margin of safety below the calculated fair price of $29.19 — a buffer that accounts for estimation uncertainty in the valuation model.
Margin of safety is a risk management concept, not an investment recommendation. The 20% threshold follows Benjamin Graham's value investing framework. Fair price and entry levels are model-based estimates updated daily. Learn more about Margin of Safety ↗
VALUATION HISTORY
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P/E RATIO HISTORY
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METHODOLOGY
How we calculate SMG's fair price
The Scotts Miracle-Gro's fair price of $29.19 is derived from a blended model that combines DCF analysis (50%), relative valuation against Basic Materials peers using metrics like P/E and EV/EBITDA (30%), and analyst consensus (20%). At the current market price of $57.58, SMG trades 49.3% above its calculated fair value.
DCF MODEL · 50%
Discounted free cash flow analysis based on projected cash flows, discounted at a rate reflecting SMG's risk profile.
RELATIVE · 30%
Comparing SMG's valuation multiples against Basic Materials peers to determine if the stock is over or undervalued relative to its industry.
ANALYST · 20%
Aggregated analyst price targets for SMG, weighted by recency and analyst accuracy.
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Want to test your own assumptions? Use our free calculators to estimate SMG's fair value with your own inputs.
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What is the fair price of SMG?+
Based on our blended model combining DCF analysis (50%), relative valuation against Basic Materials peers (30%), and analyst consensus (20%), the fair price for The Scotts Miracle-Gro is $29.19. At the current market price of $57.58, SMG trades 49.3% above its calculated fair value.
Is SMG overvalued or undervalued?+
The Scotts Miracle-Gro is currently overvalued based on our valuation model. The stock trades at $57.58, which is 49.3% above the fair price of $29.19. The P/E ratio of 39.2x is a key metric in the valuation.
What is the margin of safety for SMG?+
With a 20% margin of safety applied to the fair price of $29.19, the conservative entry level for SMG is $23.35. At the current market price of $57.58, the stock trades 59.4% above this entry level. Margin of safety is a risk management concept from Benjamin Graham's value investing framework, not an investment recommendation.
How often is SMG's fair price updated?+
We update fair price calculations for SMG daily after market close. The current fair price of $29.19 incorporates the latest market data and sector multiples.
What factors affect SMG's fair price calculation?+
SMG's fair price of $29.19 is derived from DCF analysis (50% weight), relative valuation against Basic Materials peers (30% weight), and analyst consensus (20% weight). Key metrics include P/E of 39.2x, ROE of -27.2%, and dividend yield of 5.73%.
Is SMG a good buy right now?+
At $57.58, SMG trades 49.3% above our fair value estimate of $29.19. The stock is currently overvalued. ROE stands at -27.2% (average). Fair Price Index provides valuation data — always do your own research before investing.
Does SMG pay dividends?+
SMG has a dividend yield of 5.73%.
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Fair Price Index is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Fair value calculations are model-based estimates and may not reflect actual market conditions. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions.