LyondellBasell
LYB is overvalued
NYSE · Basic Materials
FAIR PRICE
Updated daily
Model: DCF 50% · Relative 30% · Consensus 20%
$67.53
MARKET PRICE
$55.52
FAIR PRICE
$12.01
MARGIN
COMMUNITY BUY ZONE
UNLOCKS AT 10
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COMMUNITY MEDIAN
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BUYERS AT TODAY'S PRICE
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FPI RATING
Attractive valuation and high-quality fundamentals, but elevated debt levels and limited growth momentum.
Analytical data, not an investment recommendation. Updated daily.
How we calculate this ↗MARGIN OF SAFETY
A 20% margin of safety below fair value — the conservative entry level for risk-aware investors.
SAFETY MARGIN
20%
Below fair value
ENTRY LEVEL
$44.42
Fair price × 0.80
DISTANCE
34.2%
Price to entry level
At the current price of $67.53, LYB trades 34.2% above the conservative entry level of $44.42. This entry level represents a 20% margin of safety below the calculated fair price of $55.52 — a buffer that accounts for estimation uncertainty in the valuation model.
Margin of safety is a risk management concept, not an investment recommendation. The 20% threshold follows Benjamin Graham's value investing framework. Fair price and entry levels are model-based estimates updated daily. Learn more about Margin of Safety ↗
VALUATION HISTORY
SYNCING FEED ▌
P/E RATIO HISTORY
SYNCING FEED ▌
METHODOLOGY
How we calculate LYB's fair price
LyondellBasell's fair price of $55.52 is derived from a blended model that combines DCF analysis (50%), relative valuation against Basic Materials peers using metrics like P/E and EV/EBITDA (30%), and analyst consensus (20%). At the current market price of $67.53, LYB trades 17.8% above its calculated fair value.
DCF MODEL · 50%
Discounted free cash flow analysis based on projected cash flows, discounted at a rate reflecting LYB's risk profile.
RELATIVE · 30%
Comparing LYB's valuation multiples against Basic Materials peers to determine if the stock is over or undervalued relative to its industry.
ANALYST · 20%
Aggregated analyst price targets for LYB, weighted by recency and analyst accuracy.
TRY IT YOURSELF
Want to test your own assumptions? Use our free calculators to estimate LYB's fair value with your own inputs.
LYB DCF Calculator
Pre-filled with LYB's real free cash flow and share count — set your own growth and discount rate to calculate intrinsic value.
Graham Number
Enter LYB's EPS and book value to see the maximum price Benjamin Graham would pay for this stock.
P/E Ratio Calculator
Check how much investors pay per dollar of LYB's earnings and compare it against sector benchmarks.
EV/EBITDA Calculator
Compare LYB against peers on a debt-adjusted basis using enterprise value and EBITDA.
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What is the fair price of LYB?+
Based on our blended model combining DCF analysis (50%), relative valuation against Basic Materials peers (30%), and analyst consensus (20%), the fair price for LyondellBasell is $55.52. At the current market price of $67.53, LYB trades 17.8% above its calculated fair value.
Is LYB overvalued or undervalued?+
LyondellBasell is currently overvalued based on our valuation model. The stock trades at $67.53, which is 17.8% above the fair price of $55.52.
What is the margin of safety for LYB?+
With a 20% margin of safety applied to the fair price of $55.52, the conservative entry level for LYB is $44.42. At the current market price of $67.53, the stock trades 34.2% above this entry level. Margin of safety is a risk management concept from Benjamin Graham's value investing framework, not an investment recommendation.
How often is LYB's fair price updated?+
We update fair price calculations for LYB daily after market close. The current fair price of $55.52 incorporates the latest market data and sector multiples.
What factors affect LYB's fair price calculation?+
LYB's fair price of $55.52 is derived from DCF analysis (50% weight), relative valuation against Basic Materials peers (30% weight), and analyst consensus (20% weight)., ROE of -3.4%, and dividend yield of 6.05%.
Is LYB a good buy right now?+
At $67.53, LYB trades 17.8% above our fair value estimate of $55.52. The stock is currently overvalued. ROE stands at -3.4% (average). Fair Price Index provides valuation data — always do your own research before investing.
Does LYB pay dividends?+
LYB has a dividend yield of 6.05%.
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Fair Price Index is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Fair value calculations are model-based estimates and may not reflect actual market conditions. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions.