Novartis AG
FAIR PRICE VALUATION
Updated daily
Model: DCF 50% · Relative 30% · Consensus 20%
MARKET PRICE
$145.63
FAIR PRICE
$146.68
MARGIN
$1.05
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FPI RATING
Strong profitability and high-quality fundamentals, but expensive valuation relative to fundamentals and limited growth momentum.
Analytical data, not an investment recommendation. Updated daily.
How we calculate this ↗MARGIN OF SAFETY
A 20% margin of safety below fair value — the conservative entry level for risk-aware investors.
SAFETY MARGIN
20%
Below fair value
ENTRY LEVEL
$117.34
Fair price × 0.80
DISTANCE
19.4%
Price to entry level
At the current price of $145.63, NVSEF trades 19.4% above the conservative entry level of $117.34. This entry level represents a 20% margin of safety below the calculated fair price of $146.68 — a buffer that accounts for estimation uncertainty in the valuation model.
Margin of safety is a risk management concept, not an investment recommendation. The 20% threshold follows Benjamin Graham's value investing framework. Fair price and entry levels are model-based estimates updated daily. Learn more about Margin of Safety ↗
VALUATION HISTORY
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P/E RATIO HISTORY
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METHODOLOGY
How we calculate NVSEF's fair price
Novartis AG's fair price of $146.68 is derived from a blended model that combines DCF analysis (50%), relative valuation against Healthcare peers using metrics like P/E and EV/EBITDA (30%), and analyst consensus (20%). At the current market price of $145.63, NVSEF trades 0.7% below its calculated fair value.
DCF MODEL · 50%
Discounted free cash flow analysis based on projected cash flows, discounted at a rate reflecting NVSEF's risk profile.
RELATIVE · 30%
Comparing NVSEF's valuation multiples against Healthcare peers to determine if the stock is over or undervalued relative to its industry.
ANALYST · 20%
Aggregated analyst price targets for NVSEF, weighted by recency and analyst accuracy.
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What is the fair price of NVSEF?+
Based on our blended model combining DCF analysis (50%), relative valuation against Healthcare peers (30%), and analyst consensus (20%), the fair price for Novartis AG is $146.68. At the current market price of $145.63, NVSEF trades 0.7% below its calculated fair value.
Is NVSEF overvalued or undervalued?+
Novartis AG is currently fair based on our valuation model. The stock trades at $145.63, which is 0.7% below the fair price of $146.68. The P/E ratio of 20.3x is a key metric in the valuation.
What is the margin of safety for NVSEF?+
With a 20% margin of safety applied to the fair price of $146.68, the conservative entry level for NVSEF is $117.34. At the current market price of $145.63, the stock trades 19.4% above this entry level. Margin of safety is a risk management concept from Benjamin Graham's value investing framework, not an investment recommendation.
How often is NVSEF's fair price updated?+
We update fair price calculations for NVSEF daily after market close. The current fair price of $146.68 incorporates the latest market data and sector multiples.
What factors affect NVSEF's fair price calculation?+
NVSEF's fair price of $146.68 is derived from DCF analysis (50% weight), relative valuation against Healthcare peers (30% weight), and analyst consensus (20% weight). Key metrics include P/E of 20.3x, ROE of 32.9%, and dividend yield of 3.28%.
Is NVSEF a good buy right now?+
At $145.63, NVSEF trades 0.7% below our fair value estimate of $146.68. The stock is currently fair. ROE stands at 32.9% (exceptional). Fair Price Index provides valuation data — always do your own research before investing.
Does NVSEF pay dividends?+
NVSEF has a dividend yield of 3.28%.
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Fair Price Index is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Fair value calculations are model-based estimates and may not reflect actual market conditions. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions.