Annaly Capital Management
FAIR PRICE VALUATION
Updated daily
Model: DCF 50% · Relative 30% · Consensus 20%
MARKET PRICE
$22.82
FAIR PRICE
$17.43
MARGIN
$5.39
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FPI RATING
Attractive valuation and strong profitability, but below-average fundamental quality and volatile earnings pattern.
Analytical data, not an investment recommendation. Updated daily.
How we calculate this ↗MARGIN OF SAFETY
A 20% margin of safety below fair value — the conservative entry level for risk-aware investors.
SAFETY MARGIN
20%
Below fair value
ENTRY LEVEL
$13.94
Fair price × 0.80
DISTANCE
38.9%
Price to entry level
At the current price of $22.82, NLY trades 38.9% above the conservative entry level of $13.94. This entry level represents a 20% margin of safety below the calculated fair price of $17.43 — a buffer that accounts for estimation uncertainty in the valuation model.
Margin of safety is a risk management concept, not an investment recommendation. The 20% threshold follows Benjamin Graham's value investing framework. Fair price and entry levels are model-based estimates updated daily. Learn more about Margin of Safety ↗
VALUATION HISTORY
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P/E RATIO HISTORY
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METHODOLOGY
How we calculate NLY's fair price
Annaly Capital Management's fair price of $17.43 is derived from a blended model that combines DCF analysis (50%), relative valuation against Real Estate peers using metrics like P/E and EV/EBITDA (30%), and analyst consensus (20%). At the current market price of $22.82, NLY trades 23.6% above its calculated fair value.
DCF MODEL · 50%
Discounted free cash flow analysis based on projected cash flows, discounted at a rate reflecting NLY's risk profile.
RELATIVE · 30%
Comparing NLY's valuation multiples against Real Estate peers to determine if the stock is over or undervalued relative to its industry.
ANALYST · 20%
Aggregated analyst price targets for NLY, weighted by recency and analyst accuracy.
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Want to test your own assumptions? Use our free calculators to estimate NLY's fair value with your own inputs.
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What is the fair price of NLY?+
Based on our blended model combining DCF analysis (50%), relative valuation against Real Estate peers (30%), and analyst consensus (20%), the fair price for Annaly Capital Management is $17.43. At the current market price of $22.82, NLY trades 23.6% above its calculated fair value.
Is NLY overvalued or undervalued?+
Annaly Capital Management is currently overvalued based on our valuation model. The stock trades at $22.82, which is 23.6% above the fair price of $17.43. The P/E ratio of 13.4x is a key metric in the valuation.
What is the margin of safety for NLY?+
With a 20% margin of safety applied to the fair price of $17.43, the conservative entry level for NLY is $13.94. At the current market price of $22.82, the stock trades 38.9% above this entry level. Margin of safety is a risk management concept from Benjamin Graham's value investing framework, not an investment recommendation.
How often is NLY's fair price updated?+
We update fair price calculations for NLY daily after market close. The current fair price of $17.43 incorporates the latest market data and sector multiples.
What factors affect NLY's fair price calculation?+
NLY's fair price of $17.43 is derived from DCF analysis (50% weight), relative valuation against Real Estate peers (30% weight), and analyst consensus (20% weight). Key metrics include P/E of 13.4x, ROE of 9.0%, and dividend yield of 15.33%.
Is NLY a good buy right now?+
At $22.82, NLY trades 23.6% above our fair value estimate of $17.43. The stock is currently overvalued. ROE stands at 9.0% (average). Fair Price Index provides valuation data — always do your own research before investing.
Does NLY pay dividends?+
NLY has a dividend yield of 15.33%.
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Fair Price Index is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Fair value calculations are model-based estimates and may not reflect actual market conditions. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions.