Annaly Capital Management
NLY is undervalued
NYSE · Real Estate
FAIR PRICE
Updated daily
Model: DCF 50% · Relative 30% · Consensus 20%
$22.73
MARKET PRICE
$29.99
FAIR PRICE
$7.26
MARGIN
COMMUNITY BUY ZONE
UNLOCKS AT 10
Where does the market buy NLY?
No one has priced NLY yet — be the first. Every investor sets the maximum price they'd still buy at; together that maps the community buy zone.
COMMUNITY MEDIAN
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BUYERS AT TODAY'S PRICE
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0/10 INVESTORS · 10 MORE TO UNLOCK
METRICS
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FPI RATING
Attractive valuation and strong profitability, but elevated debt levels.
Analytical data, not an investment recommendation. Updated daily.
How we calculate this ↗MARGIN OF SAFETY
A 20% margin of safety below fair value — the conservative entry level for risk-aware investors.
SAFETY MARGIN
20%
Below fair value
ENTRY LEVEL
$23.99
Fair price × 0.80
DISTANCE
5.6%
Price to entry level
At the current price of $22.73, NLY trades 5.6% below the conservative entry level of $23.99. The stock is currently priced below the 20% margin of safety threshold, indicating a potential value opportunity based on the model.
Margin of safety is a risk management concept, not an investment recommendation. The 20% threshold follows Benjamin Graham's value investing framework. Fair price and entry levels are model-based estimates updated daily. Learn more about Margin of Safety ↗
VALUATION HISTORY
SYNCING FEED ▌
P/E RATIO HISTORY
SYNCING FEED ▌
METHODOLOGY
How we calculate NLY's fair price
Annaly Capital Management's fair price of $29.99 is derived from a blended model that combines DCF analysis (50%), relative valuation against Real Estate peers using metrics like P/E and EV/EBITDA (30%), and analyst consensus (20%). At the current market price of $22.73, NLY trades 31.9% below its calculated fair value.
DCF MODEL · 50%
Discounted free cash flow analysis based on projected cash flows, discounted at a rate reflecting NLY's risk profile.
RELATIVE · 30%
Comparing NLY's valuation multiples against Real Estate peers to determine if the stock is over or undervalued relative to its industry.
ANALYST · 20%
Aggregated analyst price targets for NLY, weighted by recency and analyst accuracy.
TRY IT YOURSELF
Want to test your own assumptions? Use our free calculators to estimate NLY's fair value with your own inputs.
NLY DCF Calculator
Pre-filled with NLY's real free cash flow and share count — set your own growth and discount rate to calculate intrinsic value.
Graham Number
Enter NLY's EPS and book value to see the maximum price Benjamin Graham would pay for this stock.
P/E Ratio Calculator
Check how much investors pay per dollar of NLY's earnings and compare it against sector benchmarks.
EV/EBITDA Calculator
Compare NLY against peers on a debt-adjusted basis using enterprise value and EBITDA.
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What is the fair price of NLY?+
Based on our blended model combining DCF analysis (50%), relative valuation against Real Estate peers (30%), and analyst consensus (20%), the fair price for Annaly Capital Management is $29.99. At the current market price of $22.73, NLY trades 31.9% below its calculated fair value.
Is NLY overvalued or undervalued?+
Annaly Capital Management is currently undervalued based on our valuation model. The stock trades at $22.73, which is 31.9% below the fair price of $29.99. The P/E ratio of 8.4x is a key metric in the valuation.
What is the margin of safety for NLY?+
With a 20% margin of safety applied to the fair price of $29.99, the conservative entry level for NLY is $23.99. At the current market price of $22.73, the stock trades 5.6% below this entry level. Margin of safety is a risk management concept from Benjamin Graham's value investing framework, not an investment recommendation.
How often is NLY's fair price updated?+
We update fair price calculations for NLY daily after market close. The current fair price of $29.99 incorporates the latest market data and sector multiples.
What factors affect NLY's fair price calculation?+
NLY's fair price of $29.99 is derived from DCF analysis (50% weight), relative valuation against Real Estate peers (30% weight), and analyst consensus (20% weight). Key metrics include P/E of 8.4x, ROE of 13.2%, and dividend yield of 12.58%.
Is NLY a good buy right now?+
At $22.73, NLY trades 31.9% below our fair value estimate of $29.99. The stock is currently undervalued. ROE stands at 13.2% (average). Fair Price Index provides valuation data — always do your own research before investing.
Does NLY pay dividends?+
NLY has a dividend yield of 12.58%.
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Fair Price Index is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Fair value calculations are model-based estimates and may not reflect actual market conditions. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions.