Northern Dynasty Minerals Ltd.
NDM.TO is overvalued
TSX · Basic Materials
FAIR PRICE
Updated daily
Model: DCF 50% · Relative 30% · Consensus 20%
$1.84
MARKET PRICE
$0.69
FAIR PRICE
$1.15
MARGIN
COMMUNITY BUY ZONE
UNLOCKS AT 10
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No one has priced NDM.TO yet — be the first. Every investor sets the maximum price they'd still buy at; together that maps the community buy zone.
COMMUNITY MEDIAN
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BUYERS AT TODAY'S PRICE
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0/10 INVESTORS · 10 MORE TO UNLOCK
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FPI RATING
Challenges include volatile earnings pattern and elevated debt levels.
Analytical data, not an investment recommendation. Updated daily.
How we calculate this ↗MARGIN OF SAFETY
A 20% margin of safety below fair value — the conservative entry level for risk-aware investors.
SAFETY MARGIN
20%
Below fair value
ENTRY LEVEL
$0.55
Fair price × 0.80
DISTANCE
70.0%
Price to entry level
At the current price of $1.84, NDM.TO trades 70.0% above the conservative entry level of $0.55. This entry level represents a 20% margin of safety below the calculated fair price of $0.69 — a buffer that accounts for estimation uncertainty in the valuation model.
Margin of safety is a risk management concept, not an investment recommendation. The 20% threshold follows Benjamin Graham's value investing framework. Fair price and entry levels are model-based estimates updated daily. Learn more about Margin of Safety ↗
VALUATION HISTORY
SYNCING FEED ▌
P/E RATIO HISTORY
SYNCING FEED ▌
METHODOLOGY
How we calculate NDM.TO's fair price
Northern Dynasty Minerals Ltd.'s fair price of $0.69 is derived from a blended model that combines DCF analysis (50%), relative valuation against Basic Materials peers using metrics like P/E and EV/EBITDA (30%), and analyst consensus (20%). At the current market price of $1.84, NDM.TO trades 62.5% above its calculated fair value.
DCF MODEL · 50%
Discounted free cash flow analysis based on projected cash flows, discounted at a rate reflecting NDM.TO's risk profile.
RELATIVE · 30%
Comparing NDM.TO's valuation multiples against Basic Materials peers to determine if the stock is over or undervalued relative to its industry.
ANALYST · 20%
Aggregated analyst price targets for NDM.TO, weighted by recency and analyst accuracy.
TRY IT YOURSELF
Want to test your own assumptions? Use our free calculators to estimate NDM.TO's fair value with your own inputs.
NDM.TO DCF Calculator
Pre-filled with NDM.TO's real free cash flow and share count — set your own growth and discount rate to calculate intrinsic value.
Graham Number
Enter NDM.TO's EPS and book value to see the maximum price Benjamin Graham would pay for this stock.
P/E Ratio Calculator
Check how much investors pay per dollar of NDM.TO's earnings and compare it against sector benchmarks.
EV/EBITDA Calculator
Compare NDM.TO against peers on a debt-adjusted basis using enterprise value and EBITDA.
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Explore on BuliosFAQ
What is the fair price of NDM.TO?+
Based on our blended model combining DCF analysis (50%), relative valuation against Basic Materials peers (30%), and analyst consensus (20%), the fair price for Northern Dynasty Minerals Ltd. is $0.69. At the current market price of $1.84, NDM.TO trades 62.5% above its calculated fair value.
Is NDM.TO overvalued or undervalued?+
Northern Dynasty Minerals Ltd. is currently overvalued based on our valuation model. The stock trades at $1.84, which is 62.5% above the fair price of $0.69.
What is the margin of safety for NDM.TO?+
With a 20% margin of safety applied to the fair price of $0.69, the conservative entry level for NDM.TO is $0.55. At the current market price of $1.84, the stock trades 70.0% above this entry level. Margin of safety is a risk management concept from Benjamin Graham's value investing framework, not an investment recommendation.
How often is NDM.TO's fair price updated?+
We update fair price calculations for NDM.TO daily after market close. The current fair price of $0.69 incorporates the latest market data and sector multiples.
What factors affect NDM.TO's fair price calculation?+
NDM.TO's fair price of $0.69 is derived from DCF analysis (50% weight), relative valuation against Basic Materials peers (30% weight), and analyst consensus (20% weight)., ROE of -203.6%.
Is NDM.TO a good buy right now?+
At $1.84, NDM.TO trades 62.5% above our fair value estimate of $0.69. The stock is currently overvalued. ROE stands at -203.6% (average). Fair Price Index provides valuation data — always do your own research before investing.
Does NDM.TO pay dividends?+
NDM.TO does not currently pay a dividend.
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Fair Price Index is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Fair value calculations are model-based estimates and may not reflect actual market conditions. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions.