National CineMedia
FAIR PRICE VALUATION
Updated daily
Model: DCF 50% · Relative 30% · Consensus 20%
MARKET PRICE
$3.48
FAIR PRICE
$2.61
MARGIN
$0.88
P/E Ratio
N/A
Div. Yield
3.36%
ROE
0.0%
Average
Market Cap
$333M
Small-cap
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FPI RATING
Consistent growth trajectory, but weak profitability margins and volatile earnings pattern.
Analytical data, not an investment recommendation. Updated daily.
How we calculate this ↗MARGIN OF SAFETY
A 20% margin of safety below fair value — the conservative entry level for risk-aware investors.
SAFETY MARGIN
20%
Below fair value
ENTRY LEVEL
$2.09
Fair price × 0.80
DISTANCE
40.1%
Price to entry level
At the current price of $3.48, NCMI trades 40.1% above the conservative entry level of $2.09. This entry level represents a 20% margin of safety below the calculated fair price of $2.61 — a buffer that accounts for estimation uncertainty in the valuation model.
Margin of safety is a risk management concept, not an investment recommendation. The 20% threshold follows Benjamin Graham's value investing framework. Fair price and entry levels are model-based estimates updated daily. Learn more about Margin of Safety ↗
VALUATION HISTORY
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P/E RATIO HISTORY
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METHODOLOGY
How we calculate NCMI's fair price
National CineMedia's fair price of $2.61 is derived from a blended model that combines DCF analysis (50%), relative valuation against Communication Services peers using metrics like P/E and EV/EBITDA (30%), and analyst consensus (20%). At the current market price of $3.48, NCMI trades 25.1% above its calculated fair value.
DCF MODEL · 50%
Discounted free cash flow analysis based on projected cash flows, discounted at a rate reflecting NCMI's risk profile.
RELATIVE · 30%
Comparing NCMI's valuation multiples against Communication Services peers to determine if the stock is over or undervalued relative to its industry.
ANALYST · 20%
Aggregated analyst price targets for NCMI, weighted by recency and analyst accuracy.
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Want to test your own assumptions? Use our free calculators to estimate NCMI's fair value with your own inputs.
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What is the fair price of NCMI?+
Based on our blended model combining DCF analysis (50%), relative valuation against Communication Services peers (30%), and analyst consensus (20%), the fair price for National CineMedia is $2.61. At the current market price of $3.48, NCMI trades 25.1% above its calculated fair value.
Is NCMI overvalued or undervalued?+
National CineMedia is currently overvalued based on our valuation model. The stock trades at $3.48, which is 25.1% above the fair price of $2.61.
What is the margin of safety for NCMI?+
With a 20% margin of safety applied to the fair price of $2.61, the conservative entry level for NCMI is $2.09. At the current market price of $3.48, the stock trades 40.1% above this entry level. Margin of safety is a risk management concept from Benjamin Graham's value investing framework, not an investment recommendation.
How often is NCMI's fair price updated?+
We update fair price calculations for NCMI daily after market close. The current fair price of $2.61 incorporates the latest market data and sector multiples.
What factors affect NCMI's fair price calculation?+
NCMI's fair price of $2.61 is derived from DCF analysis (50% weight), relative valuation against Communication Services peers (30% weight), and analyst consensus (20% weight)., ROE of 0.0%, and dividend yield of 3.36%.
Is NCMI a good buy right now?+
At $3.48, NCMI trades 25.1% above our fair value estimate of $2.61. The stock is currently overvalued. ROE stands at 0.0% (average). Fair Price Index provides valuation data — always do your own research before investing.
Does NCMI pay dividends?+
NCMI has a dividend yield of 3.36%.
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Fair Price Index is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Fair value calculations are model-based estimates and may not reflect actual market conditions. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions.