Moog Inc.
FAIR PRICE VALUATION
Updated daily
Model: DCF 50% · Relative 30% · Consensus 20%
MARKET PRICE
$302.24
FAIR PRICE
$163.22
MARGIN
$139.02
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FPI RATING
Low debt levels, but expensive valuation relative to fundamentals and weak profitability margins.
Analytical data, not an investment recommendation. Updated daily.
How we calculate this ↗MARGIN OF SAFETY
A 20% margin of safety below fair value — the conservative entry level for risk-aware investors.
SAFETY MARGIN
20%
Below fair value
ENTRY LEVEL
$130.58
Fair price × 0.80
DISTANCE
56.8%
Price to entry level
At the current price of $302.24, MOG-B trades 56.8% above the conservative entry level of $130.58. This entry level represents a 20% margin of safety below the calculated fair price of $163.22 — a buffer that accounts for estimation uncertainty in the valuation model.
Margin of safety is a risk management concept, not an investment recommendation. The 20% threshold follows Benjamin Graham's value investing framework. Fair price and entry levels are model-based estimates updated daily. Learn more about Margin of Safety ↗
VALUATION HISTORY
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P/E RATIO HISTORY
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METHODOLOGY
How we calculate MOG-B's fair price
Moog Inc.'s fair price of $163.22 is derived from a blended model that combines DCF analysis (50%), relative valuation against Industrials peers using metrics like P/E and EV/EBITDA (30%), and analyst consensus (20%). At the current market price of $302.24, MOG-B trades 46.0% above its calculated fair value.
DCF MODEL · 50%
Discounted free cash flow analysis based on projected cash flows, discounted at a rate reflecting MOG-B's risk profile.
RELATIVE · 30%
Comparing MOG-B's valuation multiples against Industrials peers to determine if the stock is over or undervalued relative to its industry.
ANALYST · 20%
Aggregated analyst price targets for MOG-B, weighted by recency and analyst accuracy.
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What is the fair price of MOG-B?+
Based on our blended model combining DCF analysis (50%), relative valuation against Industrials peers (30%), and analyst consensus (20%), the fair price for Moog Inc. is $163.22. At the current market price of $302.24, MOG-B trades 46.0% above its calculated fair value.
Is MOG-B overvalued or undervalued?+
Moog Inc. is currently overvalued based on our valuation model. The stock trades at $302.24, which is 46.0% above the fair price of $163.22. The P/E ratio of 37.5x is a key metric in the valuation.
What is the margin of safety for MOG-B?+
With a 20% margin of safety applied to the fair price of $163.22, the conservative entry level for MOG-B is $130.58. At the current market price of $302.24, the stock trades 56.8% above this entry level. Margin of safety is a risk management concept from Benjamin Graham's value investing framework, not an investment recommendation.
How often is MOG-B's fair price updated?+
We update fair price calculations for MOG-B daily after market close. The current fair price of $163.22 incorporates the latest market data and sector multiples.
What factors affect MOG-B's fair price calculation?+
MOG-B's fair price of $163.22 is derived from DCF analysis (50% weight), relative valuation against Industrials peers (30% weight), and analyst consensus (20% weight). Key metrics include P/E of 37.5x, ROE of 13.3%, and dividend yield of 0.29%.
Is MOG-B a good buy right now?+
At $302.24, MOG-B trades 46.0% above our fair value estimate of $163.22. The stock is currently overvalued. ROE stands at 13.3% (average). Fair Price Index provides valuation data — always do your own research before investing.
Does MOG-B pay dividends?+
MOG-B has a dividend yield of 0.29%.
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Fair Price Index is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Fair value calculations are model-based estimates and may not reflect actual market conditions. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions.