John B. Sanfilippo & Son

OVERVALUEDJBSS · NASDAQ · Consumer Defensive
JBSS·NASDAQ·Consumer Defensive
OVERVALUED
John B. Sanfilippo & Son
16.9%downside
MARKET PRICE
$79.43
FAIR PRICE
$65.98
MARGIN
$13.45
UNDERVALUEDFAIROVERVALUED
P/E RATIO
13.6x
DIV. YIELD
5.16%
ROE
18.1%
MARKET CAP
$906M
FPI
fairpriceindex.com

FAIR PRICE VALUATION

16.9%downside

Updated daily

Model: DCF 50% · Relative 30% · Consensus 20%

MARKET PRICE

$79.43

FAIR PRICE

$65.98

MARGIN

$13.45

UNDERVALUEDFAIROVERVALUED

P/E Ratio

13.6x

What is P/E? →

Div. Yield

5.16%

ROE

18.1%

Strong

Market Cap

$906M

Small-cap

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FPI RATING

6.4/ 10

Attractive valuation and stable earnings and revenue, but weak profitability margins.

Analytical data, not an investment recommendation. Updated daily.

How we calculate this ↗

MARGIN OF SAFETY

A 20% margin of safety below fair value — the conservative entry level for risk-aware investors.

$52.78CONSERVATIVE ENTRY
$65.98FAIR PRICE
$79.43MARKET PRICE

SAFETY MARGIN

20%

Below fair value

ENTRY LEVEL

$52.78

Fair price × 0.80

DISTANCE

33.5%

Price to entry level

At the current price of $79.43, JBSS trades 33.5% above the conservative entry level of $52.78. This entry level represents a 20% margin of safety below the calculated fair price of $65.98 — a buffer that accounts for estimation uncertainty in the valuation model.

Margin of safety is a risk management concept, not an investment recommendation. The 20% threshold follows Benjamin Graham's value investing framework. Fair price and entry levels are model-based estimates updated daily. Learn more about Margin of Safety ↗

VALUATION HISTORY

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P/E RATIO HISTORY

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METHODOLOGY

How we calculate JBSS's fair price

John B. Sanfilippo & Son's fair price of $65.98 is derived from a blended model that combines DCF analysis (50%), relative valuation against Consumer Defensive peers using metrics like P/E and EV/EBITDA (30%), and analyst consensus (20%). At the current market price of $79.43, JBSS trades 16.9% above its calculated fair value.

DCF MODEL · 50%

Discounted free cash flow analysis based on projected cash flows, discounted at a rate reflecting JBSS's risk profile.

RELATIVE · 30%

Comparing JBSS's valuation multiples against Consumer Defensive peers to determine if the stock is over or undervalued relative to its industry.

ANALYST · 20%

Aggregated analyst price targets for JBSS, weighted by recency and analyst accuracy.

TRY IT YOURSELF

Want to test your own assumptions? Use our free calculators to estimate JBSS's fair value with your own inputs.

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FAQ

What is the fair price of JBSS?+

Based on our blended model combining DCF analysis (50%), relative valuation against Consumer Defensive peers (30%), and analyst consensus (20%), the fair price for John B. Sanfilippo & Son is $65.98. At the current market price of $79.43, JBSS trades 16.9% above its calculated fair value.

Is JBSS overvalued or undervalued?+

John B. Sanfilippo & Son is currently overvalued based on our valuation model. The stock trades at $79.43, which is 16.9% above the fair price of $65.98. The P/E ratio of 13.6x is a key metric in the valuation.

What is the margin of safety for JBSS?+

With a 20% margin of safety applied to the fair price of $65.98, the conservative entry level for JBSS is $52.78. At the current market price of $79.43, the stock trades 33.5% above this entry level. Margin of safety is a risk management concept from Benjamin Graham's value investing framework, not an investment recommendation.

How often is JBSS's fair price updated?+

We update fair price calculations for JBSS daily after market close. The current fair price of $65.98 incorporates the latest market data and sector multiples.

What factors affect JBSS's fair price calculation?+

JBSS's fair price of $65.98 is derived from DCF analysis (50% weight), relative valuation against Consumer Defensive peers (30% weight), and analyst consensus (20% weight). Key metrics include P/E of 13.6x, ROE of 18.1%, and dividend yield of 5.16%.

Is JBSS a good buy right now?+

At $79.43, JBSS trades 16.9% above our fair value estimate of $65.98. The stock is currently overvalued. ROE stands at 18.1% (strong). Fair Price Index provides valuation data — always do your own research before investing.

Does JBSS pay dividends?+

JBSS has a dividend yield of 5.16%.

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Fair Price Index is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Fair value calculations are model-based estimates and may not reflect actual market conditions. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions.