Herbalife Nutrition
FAIR PRICE VALUATION
Updated daily
Model: DCF 50% · Relative 30% · Consensus 20%
MARKET PRICE
$16.61
FAIR PRICE
$18.19
MARGIN
$1.58
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FPI RATING
Attractive valuation, but weak profitability margins and below-average fundamental quality.
Analytical data, not an investment recommendation. Updated daily.
How we calculate this ↗MARGIN OF SAFETY
A 20% margin of safety below fair value — the conservative entry level for risk-aware investors.
SAFETY MARGIN
20%
Below fair value
ENTRY LEVEL
$14.55
Fair price × 0.80
DISTANCE
12.4%
Price to entry level
At the current price of $16.61, HLF trades 12.4% above the conservative entry level of $14.55. This entry level represents a 20% margin of safety below the calculated fair price of $18.19 — a buffer that accounts for estimation uncertainty in the valuation model.
Margin of safety is a risk management concept, not an investment recommendation. The 20% threshold follows Benjamin Graham's value investing framework. Fair price and entry levels are model-based estimates updated daily. Learn more about Margin of Safety ↗
VALUATION HISTORY
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P/E RATIO HISTORY
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METHODOLOGY
How we calculate HLF's fair price
Herbalife Nutrition's fair price of $18.19 is derived from a blended model that combines DCF analysis (50%), relative valuation against Consumer Defensive peers using metrics like P/E and EV/EBITDA (30%), and analyst consensus (20%). At the current market price of $16.61, HLF trades 9.5% below its calculated fair value.
DCF MODEL · 50%
Discounted free cash flow analysis based on projected cash flows, discounted at a rate reflecting HLF's risk profile.
RELATIVE · 30%
Comparing HLF's valuation multiples against Consumer Defensive peers to determine if the stock is over or undervalued relative to its industry.
ANALYST · 20%
Aggregated analyst price targets for HLF, weighted by recency and analyst accuracy.
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Want to test your own assumptions? Use our free calculators to estimate HLF's fair value with your own inputs.
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Explore on BuliosFAQ
What is the fair price of HLF?+
Based on our blended model combining DCF analysis (50%), relative valuation against Consumer Defensive peers (30%), and analyst consensus (20%), the fair price for Herbalife Nutrition is $18.19. At the current market price of $16.61, HLF trades 9.5% below its calculated fair value.
Is HLF overvalued or undervalued?+
Herbalife Nutrition is currently fair based on our valuation model. The stock trades at $16.61, which is 9.5% below the fair price of $18.19. The P/E ratio of 7.3x is a key metric in the valuation.
What is the margin of safety for HLF?+
With a 20% margin of safety applied to the fair price of $18.19, the conservative entry level for HLF is $14.55. At the current market price of $16.61, the stock trades 12.4% above this entry level. Margin of safety is a risk management concept from Benjamin Graham's value investing framework, not an investment recommendation.
How often is HLF's fair price updated?+
We update fair price calculations for HLF daily after market close. The current fair price of $18.19 incorporates the latest market data and sector multiples.
What factors affect HLF's fair price calculation?+
HLF's fair price of $18.19 is derived from DCF analysis (50% weight), relative valuation against Consumer Defensive peers (30% weight), and analyst consensus (20% weight). Key metrics include P/E of 7.3x, ROE of -36.2%.
Is HLF a good buy right now?+
At $16.61, HLF trades 9.5% below our fair value estimate of $18.19. The stock is currently fair. ROE stands at -36.2% (average). Fair Price Index provides valuation data — always do your own research before investing.
Does HLF pay dividends?+
HLF does not currently pay a dividend.
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Fair Price Index is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Fair value calculations are model-based estimates and may not reflect actual market conditions. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions.