Groupon

GRPN is overvalued

NASDAQ · Communication Services

FAIR PRICE

49.2%downside

Updated daily

Model: DCF 50% · Relative 30% · Consensus 20%

$19.59

MARKET PRICE

$9.96

FAIR PRICE

$9.63

MARGIN

UNDERFAIROVER

COMMUNITY BUY ZONE

UNLOCKS AT 10

Where does the market buy GRPN?

No one has priced GRPN yet — be the first. Every investor sets the maximum price they'd still buy at; together that maps the community buy zone.

COMMUNITY MEDIAN

▓▓▓▓▓

BUYERS AT TODAY'S PRICE

▓▓ %

0/10 INVESTORS · 10 MORE TO UNLOCK

METRICS

P/E
P/B
P/S1.5
PEG
DIV YIELD
ROE
ROIC2.2%
DEBT/EQ
MKT CAP$744M

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FPI RATING

1.8/ 10

Attractive valuation, but below-average fundamental quality and elevated debt levels.

Analytical data, not an investment recommendation. Updated daily.

How we calculate this ↗

MARGIN OF SAFETY

A 20% margin of safety below fair value — the conservative entry level for risk-aware investors.

$7.97CONSERVATIVE ENTRY
$9.96FAIR PRICE
$19.59MARKET PRICE

SAFETY MARGIN

20%

Below fair value

ENTRY LEVEL

$7.97

Fair price × 0.80

DISTANCE

59.3%

Price to entry level

At the current price of $19.59, GRPN trades 59.3% above the conservative entry level of $7.97. This entry level represents a 20% margin of safety below the calculated fair price of $9.96 — a buffer that accounts for estimation uncertainty in the valuation model.

Margin of safety is a risk management concept, not an investment recommendation. The 20% threshold follows Benjamin Graham's value investing framework. Fair price and entry levels are model-based estimates updated daily. Learn more about Margin of Safety ↗

VALUATION HISTORY

SYNCING FEED

P/E RATIO HISTORY

SYNCING FEED

METHODOLOGY

How we calculate GRPN's fair price

Groupon's fair price of $9.96 is derived from a blended model that combines DCF analysis (50%), relative valuation against Communication Services peers using metrics like P/E and EV/EBITDA (30%), and analyst consensus (20%). At the current market price of $19.59, GRPN trades 49.2% above its calculated fair value.

DCF MODEL · 50%

Discounted free cash flow analysis based on projected cash flows, discounted at a rate reflecting GRPN's risk profile.

RELATIVE · 30%

Comparing GRPN's valuation multiples against Communication Services peers to determine if the stock is over or undervalued relative to its industry.

ANALYST · 20%

Aggregated analyst price targets for GRPN, weighted by recency and analyst accuracy.

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Want to test your own assumptions? Use our free calculators to estimate GRPN's fair value with your own inputs.

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FAQ

What is the fair price of GRPN?+

Based on our blended model combining DCF analysis (50%), relative valuation against Communication Services peers (30%), and analyst consensus (20%), the fair price for Groupon is $9.96. At the current market price of $19.59, GRPN trades 49.2% above its calculated fair value.

Is GRPN overvalued or undervalued?+

Groupon is currently overvalued based on our valuation model. The stock trades at $19.59, which is 49.2% above the fair price of $9.96.

What is the margin of safety for GRPN?+

With a 20% margin of safety applied to the fair price of $9.96, the conservative entry level for GRPN is $7.97. At the current market price of $19.59, the stock trades 59.3% above this entry level. Margin of safety is a risk management concept from Benjamin Graham's value investing framework, not an investment recommendation.

How often is GRPN's fair price updated?+

We update fair price calculations for GRPN daily after market close. The current fair price of $9.96 incorporates the latest market data and sector multiples.

What factors affect GRPN's fair price calculation?+

GRPN's fair price of $9.96 is derived from DCF analysis (50% weight), relative valuation against Communication Services peers (30% weight), and analyst consensus (20% weight)..

Is GRPN a good buy right now?+

At $19.59, GRPN trades 49.2% above our fair value estimate of $9.96. The stock is currently overvalued. Fair Price Index provides valuation data — always do your own research before investing.

Does GRPN pay dividends?+

GRPN does not currently pay a dividend.

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Fair Price Index is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Fair value calculations are model-based estimates and may not reflect actual market conditions. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions.