Collective Mining Ltd.
CNL.TO is overvalued
TSX · Basic Materials
FAIR PRICE
Updated daily
Model: DCF 50% · Relative 30% · Consensus 20%
$18.13
MARKET PRICE
$4.40
FAIR PRICE
$13.73
MARGIN
COMMUNITY BUY ZONE
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No one has priced CNL.TO yet — be the first. Every investor sets the maximum price they'd still buy at; together that maps the community buy zone.
COMMUNITY MEDIAN
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BUYERS AT TODAY'S PRICE
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FPI RATING
Consistent growth trajectory and stable earnings and revenue, but below-average fundamental quality and expensive valuation relative to fundamentals.
Analytical data, not an investment recommendation. Updated daily.
How we calculate this ↗MARGIN OF SAFETY
A 20% margin of safety below fair value — the conservative entry level for risk-aware investors.
SAFETY MARGIN
20%
Below fair value
ENTRY LEVEL
$3.52
Fair price × 0.80
DISTANCE
80.6%
Price to entry level
At the current price of $18.13, CNL.TO trades 80.6% above the conservative entry level of $3.52. This entry level represents a 20% margin of safety below the calculated fair price of $4.40 — a buffer that accounts for estimation uncertainty in the valuation model.
Margin of safety is a risk management concept, not an investment recommendation. The 20% threshold follows Benjamin Graham's value investing framework. Fair price and entry levels are model-based estimates updated daily. Learn more about Margin of Safety ↗
VALUATION HISTORY
SYNCING FEED ▌
P/E RATIO HISTORY
SYNCING FEED ▌
METHODOLOGY
How we calculate CNL.TO's fair price
Collective Mining Ltd.'s fair price of $4.40 is derived from a blended model that combines DCF analysis (50%), relative valuation against Basic Materials peers using metrics like P/E and EV/EBITDA (30%), and analyst consensus (20%). At the current market price of $18.13, CNL.TO trades 75.7% above its calculated fair value.
DCF MODEL · 50%
Discounted free cash flow analysis based on projected cash flows, discounted at a rate reflecting CNL.TO's risk profile.
RELATIVE · 30%
Comparing CNL.TO's valuation multiples against Basic Materials peers to determine if the stock is over or undervalued relative to its industry.
ANALYST · 20%
Aggregated analyst price targets for CNL.TO, weighted by recency and analyst accuracy.
TRY IT YOURSELF
Want to test your own assumptions? Use our free calculators to estimate CNL.TO's fair value with your own inputs.
CNL.TO DCF Calculator
Pre-filled with CNL.TO's real free cash flow and share count — set your own growth and discount rate to calculate intrinsic value.
Graham Number
Enter CNL.TO's EPS and book value to see the maximum price Benjamin Graham would pay for this stock.
P/E Ratio Calculator
Check how much investors pay per dollar of CNL.TO's earnings and compare it against sector benchmarks.
EV/EBITDA Calculator
Compare CNL.TO against peers on a debt-adjusted basis using enterprise value and EBITDA.
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Explore on BuliosFAQ
What is the fair price of CNL.TO?+
Based on our blended model combining DCF analysis (50%), relative valuation against Basic Materials peers (30%), and analyst consensus (20%), the fair price for Collective Mining Ltd. is $4.40. At the current market price of $18.13, CNL.TO trades 75.7% above its calculated fair value.
Is CNL.TO overvalued or undervalued?+
Collective Mining Ltd. is currently overvalued based on our valuation model. The stock trades at $18.13, which is 75.7% above the fair price of $4.40.
What is the margin of safety for CNL.TO?+
With a 20% margin of safety applied to the fair price of $4.40, the conservative entry level for CNL.TO is $3.52. At the current market price of $18.13, the stock trades 80.6% above this entry level. Margin of safety is a risk management concept from Benjamin Graham's value investing framework, not an investment recommendation.
How often is CNL.TO's fair price updated?+
We update fair price calculations for CNL.TO daily after market close. The current fair price of $4.40 incorporates the latest market data and sector multiples.
What factors affect CNL.TO's fair price calculation?+
CNL.TO's fair price of $4.40 is derived from DCF analysis (50% weight), relative valuation against Basic Materials peers (30% weight), and analyst consensus (20% weight)., ROE of -49.2%.
Is CNL.TO a good buy right now?+
At $18.13, CNL.TO trades 75.7% above our fair value estimate of $4.40. The stock is currently overvalued. ROE stands at -49.2% (average). Fair Price Index provides valuation data — always do your own research before investing.
Does CNL.TO pay dividends?+
CNL.TO does not currently pay a dividend.
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Fair Price Index is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Fair value calculations are model-based estimates and may not reflect actual market conditions. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions.