B&G Foods

UNDERVALUEDBGS · NYSE · Consumer Defensive
BGS·NYSE·Consumer Defensive
UNDERVALUED
B&G Foods
54.3%upside
MARKET PRICE
$4.03
FAIR PRICE
$6.22
MARGIN
$2.19
UNDERVALUEDFAIROVERVALUED
P/E RATIO
N/A
DIV. YIELD
21.16%
ROE
-12.8%
MARKET CAP
$328M
FPI
fairpriceindex.com

FAIR PRICE VALUATION

54.3%upside

Updated daily

Model: DCF 50% · Relative 30% · Consensus 20%

MARKET PRICE

$4.03

FAIR PRICE

$6.22

MARGIN

$2.19

UNDERVALUEDFAIROVERVALUED

P/E Ratio

N/A

Div. Yield

21.16%

ROE

-12.8%

Average

Market Cap

$328M

Small-cap

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FPI RATING

3.3/ 10

Attractive valuation and low debt levels, but limited growth momentum and weak profitability margins.

Analytical data, not an investment recommendation. Updated daily.

How we calculate this ↗

MARGIN OF SAFETY

A 20% margin of safety below fair value — the conservative entry level for risk-aware investors.

$4.98CONSERVATIVE ENTRY
$6.22FAIR PRICE
$4.03MARKET PRICE

SAFETY MARGIN

20%

Below fair value

ENTRY LEVEL

$4.98

Fair price × 0.80

DISTANCE

23.5%

Price to entry level

At the current price of $4.03, BGS trades 23.5% below the conservative entry level of $4.98. The stock is currently priced below the 20% margin of safety threshold, indicating a potential value opportunity based on the model.

Margin of safety is a risk management concept, not an investment recommendation. The 20% threshold follows Benjamin Graham's value investing framework. Fair price and entry levels are model-based estimates updated daily. Learn more about Margin of Safety ↗

VALUATION HISTORY

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P/E RATIO HISTORY

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METHODOLOGY

How we calculate BGS's fair price

B&G Foods's fair price of $6.22 is derived from a blended model that combines DCF analysis (50%), relative valuation against Consumer Defensive peers using metrics like P/E and EV/EBITDA (30%), and analyst consensus (20%). At the current market price of $4.03, BGS trades 54.3% below its calculated fair value.

DCF MODEL · 50%

Discounted free cash flow analysis based on projected cash flows, discounted at a rate reflecting BGS's risk profile.

RELATIVE · 30%

Comparing BGS's valuation multiples against Consumer Defensive peers to determine if the stock is over or undervalued relative to its industry.

ANALYST · 20%

Aggregated analyst price targets for BGS, weighted by recency and analyst accuracy.

TRY IT YOURSELF

Want to test your own assumptions? Use our free calculators to estimate BGS's fair value with your own inputs.

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FAQ

What is the fair price of BGS?+

Based on our blended model combining DCF analysis (50%), relative valuation against Consumer Defensive peers (30%), and analyst consensus (20%), the fair price for B&G Foods is $6.22. At the current market price of $4.03, BGS trades 54.3% below its calculated fair value.

Is BGS overvalued or undervalued?+

B&G Foods is currently undervalued based on our valuation model. The stock trades at $4.03, which is 54.3% below the fair price of $6.22.

What is the margin of safety for BGS?+

With a 20% margin of safety applied to the fair price of $6.22, the conservative entry level for BGS is $4.98. At the current market price of $4.03, the stock trades 23.5% below this entry level. Margin of safety is a risk management concept from Benjamin Graham's value investing framework, not an investment recommendation.

How often is BGS's fair price updated?+

We update fair price calculations for BGS daily after market close. The current fair price of $6.22 incorporates the latest market data and sector multiples.

What factors affect BGS's fair price calculation?+

BGS's fair price of $6.22 is derived from DCF analysis (50% weight), relative valuation against Consumer Defensive peers (30% weight), and analyst consensus (20% weight)., ROE of -12.8%, and dividend yield of 21.16%.

Is BGS a good buy right now?+

At $4.03, BGS trades 54.3% below our fair value estimate of $6.22. The stock is currently undervalued. ROE stands at -12.8% (average). Fair Price Index provides valuation data — always do your own research before investing.

Does BGS pay dividends?+

BGS has a dividend yield of 21.16%.

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Fair Price Index is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Fair value calculations are model-based estimates and may not reflect actual market conditions. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions.