ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc.

ARR-PC is fairly valued

NYSE · Real Estate

FAIR PRICE

5.6%fair value

Updated daily

Model: DCF 50% · Relative 30% · Consensus 20%

$20.28

MARKET PRICE

$19.14

FAIR PRICE

$1.14

MARGIN

UNDERFAIROVER

COMMUNITY BUY ZONE

UNLOCKS AT 10

Where does the market buy ARR-PC?

No one has priced ARR-PC yet — be the first. Every investor sets the maximum price they'd still buy at; together that maps the community buy zone.

COMMUNITY MEDIAN

▓▓▓▓▓

BUYERS AT TODAY'S PRICE

▓▓ %

0/10 INVESTORS · 10 MORE TO UNLOCK

METRICS

P/E3.2
P/B0.5
P/S1.4
PEG
DIV YIELD8.61%
ROE18.5%
ROIC4.9%
DEBT/EQ7.54
MKT CAP$1B

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FPI RATING

4.3/ 10

Strong profitability and attractive valuation, but volatile earnings pattern and elevated debt levels.

Analytical data, not an investment recommendation. Updated daily.

How we calculate this ↗

MARGIN OF SAFETY

A 20% margin of safety below fair value — the conservative entry level for risk-aware investors.

$15.31CONSERVATIVE ENTRY
$19.14FAIR PRICE
$20.28MARKET PRICE

SAFETY MARGIN

20%

Below fair value

ENTRY LEVEL

$15.31

Fair price × 0.80

DISTANCE

24.5%

Price to entry level

At the current price of $20.28, ARR-PC trades 24.5% above the conservative entry level of $15.31. This entry level represents a 20% margin of safety below the calculated fair price of $19.14 — a buffer that accounts for estimation uncertainty in the valuation model.

Margin of safety is a risk management concept, not an investment recommendation. The 20% threshold follows Benjamin Graham's value investing framework. Fair price and entry levels are model-based estimates updated daily. Learn more about Margin of Safety ↗

VALUATION HISTORY

SYNCING FEED

P/E RATIO HISTORY

SYNCING FEED

METHODOLOGY

How we calculate ARR-PC's fair price

ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc.'s fair price of $19.14 is derived from a blended model that combines DCF analysis (50%), relative valuation against Real Estate peers using metrics like P/E and EV/EBITDA (30%), and analyst consensus (20%). At the current market price of $20.28, ARR-PC trades 5.6% above its calculated fair value.

DCF MODEL · 50%

Discounted free cash flow analysis based on projected cash flows, discounted at a rate reflecting ARR-PC's risk profile.

RELATIVE · 30%

Comparing ARR-PC's valuation multiples against Real Estate peers to determine if the stock is over or undervalued relative to its industry.

ANALYST · 20%

Aggregated analyst price targets for ARR-PC, weighted by recency and analyst accuracy.

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FAQ

What is the fair price of ARR-PC?+

Based on our blended model combining DCF analysis (50%), relative valuation against Real Estate peers (30%), and analyst consensus (20%), the fair price for ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc. is $19.14. At the current market price of $20.28, ARR-PC trades 5.6% above its calculated fair value.

Is ARR-PC overvalued or undervalued?+

ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc. is currently fair based on our valuation model. The stock trades at $20.28, which is 5.6% above the fair price of $19.14. The P/E ratio of 3.2x is a key metric in the valuation.

What is the margin of safety for ARR-PC?+

With a 20% margin of safety applied to the fair price of $19.14, the conservative entry level for ARR-PC is $15.31. At the current market price of $20.28, the stock trades 24.5% above this entry level. Margin of safety is a risk management concept from Benjamin Graham's value investing framework, not an investment recommendation.

How often is ARR-PC's fair price updated?+

We update fair price calculations for ARR-PC daily after market close. The current fair price of $19.14 incorporates the latest market data and sector multiples.

What factors affect ARR-PC's fair price calculation?+

ARR-PC's fair price of $19.14 is derived from DCF analysis (50% weight), relative valuation against Real Estate peers (30% weight), and analyst consensus (20% weight). Key metrics include P/E of 3.2x, ROE of 18.5%, and dividend yield of 8.61%.

Is ARR-PC a good buy right now?+

At $20.28, ARR-PC trades 5.6% above our fair value estimate of $19.14. The stock is currently fair. ROE stands at 18.5% (strong). Fair Price Index provides valuation data — always do your own research before investing.

Does ARR-PC pay dividends?+

ARR-PC has a dividend yield of 8.61%.

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Fair Price Index is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Fair value calculations are model-based estimates and may not reflect actual market conditions. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions.