ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc.
FAIR PRICE VALUATION
Updated daily
Model: DCF 50% · Relative 30% · Consensus 20%
MARKET PRICE
$21.07
FAIR PRICE
$21.98
MARGIN
$0.91
NOW AVAILABLE
Get notified when ARR-PC's fair price changes
Push notifications when ARR-PC's valuation shifts. Available on iOS and Android.
FPI RATING
Consistent growth trajectory and attractive valuation, but volatile earnings pattern and below-average fundamental quality.
Analytical data, not an investment recommendation. Updated daily.
How we calculate this ↗MARGIN OF SAFETY
A 20% margin of safety below fair value — the conservative entry level for risk-aware investors.
SAFETY MARGIN
20%
Below fair value
ENTRY LEVEL
$17.58
Fair price × 0.80
DISTANCE
16.5%
Price to entry level
At the current price of $21.07, ARR-PC trades 16.5% above the conservative entry level of $17.58. This entry level represents a 20% margin of safety below the calculated fair price of $21.98 — a buffer that accounts for estimation uncertainty in the valuation model.
Margin of safety is a risk management concept, not an investment recommendation. The 20% threshold follows Benjamin Graham's value investing framework. Fair price and entry levels are model-based estimates updated daily. Learn more about Margin of Safety ↗
VALUATION HISTORY
Loading chart data...
P/E RATIO HISTORY
Loading chart data...
METHODOLOGY
How we calculate ARR-PC's fair price
ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc.'s fair price of $21.98 is derived from a blended model that combines DCF analysis (50%), relative valuation against Real Estate peers using metrics like P/E and EV/EBITDA (30%), and analyst consensus (20%). At the current market price of $21.07, ARR-PC trades 4.3% below its calculated fair value.
DCF MODEL · 50%
Discounted free cash flow analysis based on projected cash flows, discounted at a rate reflecting ARR-PC's risk profile.
RELATIVE · 30%
Comparing ARR-PC's valuation multiples against Real Estate peers to determine if the stock is over or undervalued relative to its industry.
ANALYST · 20%
Aggregated analyst price targets for ARR-PC, weighted by recency and analyst accuracy.
TRY IT YOURSELF
Want to test your own assumptions? Use our free calculators to estimate ARR-PC's fair value with your own inputs.
LEARN MORE
POWERED BY BULIOS
Get full analysis, financials, and AI insights for ARR-PC.
Explore on BuliosFAQ
What is the fair price of ARR-PC?+
Based on our blended model combining DCF analysis (50%), relative valuation against Real Estate peers (30%), and analyst consensus (20%), the fair price for ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc. is $21.98. At the current market price of $21.07, ARR-PC trades 4.3% below its calculated fair value.
Is ARR-PC overvalued or undervalued?+
ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc. is currently fair based on our valuation model. The stock trades at $21.07, which is 4.3% below the fair price of $21.98. The P/E ratio of 55.2x is a key metric in the valuation.
What is the margin of safety for ARR-PC?+
With a 20% margin of safety applied to the fair price of $21.98, the conservative entry level for ARR-PC is $17.58. At the current market price of $21.07, the stock trades 16.5% above this entry level. Margin of safety is a risk management concept from Benjamin Graham's value investing framework, not an investment recommendation.
How often is ARR-PC's fair price updated?+
We update fair price calculations for ARR-PC daily after market close. The current fair price of $21.98 incorporates the latest market data and sector multiples.
What factors affect ARR-PC's fair price calculation?+
ARR-PC's fair price of $21.98 is derived from DCF analysis (50% weight), relative valuation against Real Estate peers (30% weight), and analyst consensus (20% weight). Key metrics include P/E of 55.2x, ROE of 2.7%, and dividend yield of 9.73%.
Is ARR-PC a good buy right now?+
At $21.07, ARR-PC trades 4.3% below our fair value estimate of $21.98. The stock is currently fair. ROE stands at 2.7% (average). Fair Price Index provides valuation data — always do your own research before investing.
Does ARR-PC pay dividends?+
ARR-PC has a dividend yield of 9.73%.
RELATED STOCKS
Fair Price Index is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Fair value calculations are model-based estimates and may not reflect actual market conditions. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions.