Austral Resources Australia Ltd

AR1.AX is undervalued

ASX · Basic Materials

FAIR PRICE

68.8%upside

Updated daily

Model: DCF 50% · Relative 30% · Consensus 20%

$0.08

MARKET PRICE

$0.13

FAIR PRICE

$0.05

MARGIN

UNDERFAIROVER

COMMUNITY BUY ZONE

UNLOCKS AT 10

Where does the market buy AR1.AX?

No one has priced AR1.AX yet — be the first. Every investor sets the maximum price they'd still buy at; together that maps the community buy zone.

COMMUNITY MEDIAN

▓▓▓▓▓

BUYERS AT TODAY'S PRICE

▓▓ %

0/10 INVESTORS · 10 MORE TO UNLOCK

METRICS

P/E3.4
P/B1.1
P/S11.4
PEG
DIV YIELD
ROE61.8%
ROIC-2.1%
DEBT/EQ0.63
FCF YIELD-47.3%
MKT CAP$40M

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FPI RATING

2.6/ 10

Attractive valuation, but weak profitability margins and volatile earnings pattern.

Analytical data, not an investment recommendation. Updated daily.

How we calculate this ↗

MARGIN OF SAFETY

A 20% margin of safety below fair value — the conservative entry level for risk-aware investors.

$0.10CONSERVATIVE ENTRY
$0.13FAIR PRICE
$0.08MARKET PRICE

SAFETY MARGIN

20%

Below fair value

ENTRY LEVEL

$0.10

Fair price × 0.80

DISTANCE

35.1%

Price to entry level

At the current price of $0.08, AR1.AX trades 35.1% below the conservative entry level of $0.10. The stock is currently priced below the 20% margin of safety threshold, indicating a potential value opportunity based on the model.

Margin of safety is a risk management concept, not an investment recommendation. The 20% threshold follows Benjamin Graham's value investing framework. Fair price and entry levels are model-based estimates updated daily. Learn more about Margin of Safety ↗

VALUATION HISTORY

SYNCING FEED

P/E RATIO HISTORY

SYNCING FEED

METHODOLOGY

How we calculate AR1.AX's fair price

Austral Resources Australia Ltd's fair price of $0.13 is derived from a blended model that combines DCF analysis (50%), relative valuation against Basic Materials peers using metrics like P/E and EV/EBITDA (30%), and analyst consensus (20%). At the current market price of $0.08, AR1.AX trades 68.8% below its calculated fair value.

DCF MODEL · 50%

Discounted free cash flow analysis based on projected cash flows, discounted at a rate reflecting AR1.AX's risk profile.

RELATIVE · 30%

Comparing AR1.AX's valuation multiples against Basic Materials peers to determine if the stock is over or undervalued relative to its industry.

ANALYST · 20%

Aggregated analyst price targets for AR1.AX, weighted by recency and analyst accuracy.

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FAQ

What is the fair price of AR1.AX?+

Based on our blended model combining DCF analysis (50%), relative valuation against Basic Materials peers (30%), and analyst consensus (20%), the fair price for Austral Resources Australia Ltd is $0.13. At the current market price of $0.08, AR1.AX trades 68.8% below its calculated fair value.

Is AR1.AX overvalued or undervalued?+

Austral Resources Australia Ltd is currently undervalued based on our valuation model. The stock trades at $0.08, which is 68.8% below the fair price of $0.13. The P/E ratio of 3.4x is a key metric in the valuation.

What is the margin of safety for AR1.AX?+

With a 20% margin of safety applied to the fair price of $0.13, the conservative entry level for AR1.AX is $0.10. At the current market price of $0.08, the stock trades 35.1% below this entry level. Margin of safety is a risk management concept from Benjamin Graham's value investing framework, not an investment recommendation.

How often is AR1.AX's fair price updated?+

We update fair price calculations for AR1.AX daily after market close. The current fair price of $0.13 incorporates the latest market data and sector multiples.

What factors affect AR1.AX's fair price calculation?+

AR1.AX's fair price of $0.13 is derived from DCF analysis (50% weight), relative valuation against Basic Materials peers (30% weight), and analyst consensus (20% weight). Key metrics include P/E of 3.4x, ROE of 61.8%.

Is AR1.AX a good buy right now?+

At $0.08, AR1.AX trades 68.8% below our fair value estimate of $0.13. The stock is currently undervalued. ROE stands at 61.8% (exceptional). Fair Price Index provides valuation data — always do your own research before investing.

Does AR1.AX pay dividends?+

AR1.AX does not currently pay a dividend.

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Fair Price Index is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Fair value calculations are model-based estimates and may not reflect actual market conditions. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions.