Aguia Resources Limited

AGR.AX is overvalued

ASX · Basic Materials

FAIR PRICE

28.6%downside

Updated daily

Model: DCF 50% · Relative 30% · Consensus 20%

$0.01

MARKET PRICE

$0.01

FAIR PRICE

$0.00

MARGIN

UNDERFAIROVER

COMMUNITY BUY ZONE

UNLOCKS AT 10

Where does the market buy AGR.AX?

No one has priced AGR.AX yet — be the first. Every investor sets the maximum price they'd still buy at; together that maps the community buy zone.

COMMUNITY MEDIAN

▓▓▓▓▓

BUYERS AT TODAY'S PRICE

▓▓ %

0/10 INVESTORS · 10 MORE TO UNLOCK

METRICS

P/E
P/B0.6
P/S87.7
PEG
DIV YIELD
ROE-6.7%
ROIC-5.4%
NET MARGIN-923.7%
DEBT/EQ0.14
FCF YIELD-39.3%
MKT CAP$26M

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FPI RATING

3.0/ 10

Consistent growth trajectory, but weak profitability margins and below-average fundamental quality.

Analytical data, not an investment recommendation. Updated daily.

How we calculate this ↗

MARGIN OF SAFETY

A 20% margin of safety below fair value — the conservative entry level for risk-aware investors.

$0.01CONSERVATIVE ENTRY
$0.01FAIR PRICE
$0.01MARKET PRICE

SAFETY MARGIN

20%

Below fair value

ENTRY LEVEL

$0.01

Fair price × 0.80

DISTANCE

42.9%

Price to entry level

At the current price of $0.01, AGR.AX trades 42.9% above the conservative entry level of $0.01. This entry level represents a 20% margin of safety below the calculated fair price of $0.01 — a buffer that accounts for estimation uncertainty in the valuation model.

Margin of safety is a risk management concept, not an investment recommendation. The 20% threshold follows Benjamin Graham's value investing framework. Fair price and entry levels are model-based estimates updated daily. Learn more about Margin of Safety ↗

VALUATION HISTORY

SYNCING FEED

P/E RATIO HISTORY

SYNCING FEED

METHODOLOGY

How we calculate AGR.AX's fair price

Aguia Resources Limited's fair price of $0.01 is derived from a blended model that combines DCF analysis (50%), relative valuation against Basic Materials peers using metrics like P/E and EV/EBITDA (30%), and analyst consensus (20%). At the current market price of $0.01, AGR.AX trades 28.6% above its calculated fair value.

DCF MODEL · 50%

Discounted free cash flow analysis based on projected cash flows, discounted at a rate reflecting AGR.AX's risk profile.

RELATIVE · 30%

Comparing AGR.AX's valuation multiples against Basic Materials peers to determine if the stock is over or undervalued relative to its industry.

ANALYST · 20%

Aggregated analyst price targets for AGR.AX, weighted by recency and analyst accuracy.

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FAQ

What is the fair price of AGR.AX?+

Based on our blended model combining DCF analysis (50%), relative valuation against Basic Materials peers (30%), and analyst consensus (20%), the fair price for Aguia Resources Limited is $0.01. At the current market price of $0.01, AGR.AX trades 28.6% above its calculated fair value.

Is AGR.AX overvalued or undervalued?+

Aguia Resources Limited is currently overvalued based on our valuation model. The stock trades at $0.01, which is 28.6% above the fair price of $0.01.

What is the margin of safety for AGR.AX?+

With a 20% margin of safety applied to the fair price of $0.01, the conservative entry level for AGR.AX is $0.01. At the current market price of $0.01, the stock trades 42.9% above this entry level. Margin of safety is a risk management concept from Benjamin Graham's value investing framework, not an investment recommendation.

How often is AGR.AX's fair price updated?+

We update fair price calculations for AGR.AX daily after market close. The current fair price of $0.01 incorporates the latest market data and sector multiples.

What factors affect AGR.AX's fair price calculation?+

AGR.AX's fair price of $0.01 is derived from DCF analysis (50% weight), relative valuation against Basic Materials peers (30% weight), and analyst consensus (20% weight)., ROE of -6.7%.

Is AGR.AX a good buy right now?+

At $0.01, AGR.AX trades 28.6% above our fair value estimate of $0.01. The stock is currently overvalued. ROE stands at -6.7% (average). Fair Price Index provides valuation data — always do your own research before investing.

Does AGR.AX pay dividends?+

AGR.AX does not currently pay a dividend.

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Fair Price Index is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Fair value calculations are model-based estimates and may not reflect actual market conditions. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions.