American Airlines
FAIR PRICE VALUATION
Updated daily
Model: DCF 50% · Relative 30% · Consensus 20%
MARKET PRICE
$11.54
FAIR PRICE
$17.24
MARGIN
$5.70
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FPI RATING
Consistent growth trajectory, but volatile earnings pattern and weak profitability margins.
Analytical data, not an investment recommendation. Updated daily.
How we calculate this ↗MARGIN OF SAFETY
A 20% margin of safety below fair value — the conservative entry level for risk-aware investors.
SAFETY MARGIN
20%
Below fair value
ENTRY LEVEL
$13.79
Fair price × 0.80
DISTANCE
19.6%
Price to entry level
At the current price of $11.54, AAL trades 19.6% below the conservative entry level of $13.79. The stock is currently priced below the 20% margin of safety threshold, indicating a potential value opportunity based on the model.
Margin of safety is a risk management concept, not an investment recommendation. The 20% threshold follows Benjamin Graham's value investing framework. Fair price and entry levels are model-based estimates updated daily. Learn more about Margin of Safety ↗
VALUATION HISTORY
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P/E RATIO HISTORY
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METHODOLOGY
How we calculate AAL's fair price
American Airlines's fair price of $17.24 is derived from a blended model that combines DCF analysis (50%), relative valuation against Industrials peers using metrics like P/E and EV/EBITDA (30%), and analyst consensus (20%). At the current market price of $11.54, AAL trades 49.5% below its calculated fair value.
DCF MODEL · 50%
Discounted free cash flow analysis based on projected cash flows, discounted at a rate reflecting AAL's risk profile.
RELATIVE · 30%
Comparing AAL's valuation multiples against Industrials peers to determine if the stock is over or undervalued relative to its industry.
ANALYST · 20%
Aggregated analyst price targets for AAL, weighted by recency and analyst accuracy.
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Want to test your own assumptions? Use our free calculators to estimate AAL's fair value with your own inputs.
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Explore on BuliosFAQ
What is the fair price of AAL?+
Based on our blended model combining DCF analysis (50%), relative valuation against Industrials peers (30%), and analyst consensus (20%), the fair price for American Airlines is $17.24. At the current market price of $11.54, AAL trades 49.5% below its calculated fair value.
Is AAL overvalued or undervalued?+
American Airlines is currently undervalued based on our valuation model. The stock trades at $11.54, which is 49.5% below the fair price of $17.24. The P/E ratio of 68.5x is a key metric in the valuation.
What is the margin of safety for AAL?+
With a 20% margin of safety applied to the fair price of $17.24, the conservative entry level for AAL is $13.79. At the current market price of $11.54, the stock trades 19.6% below this entry level. Margin of safety is a risk management concept from Benjamin Graham's value investing framework, not an investment recommendation.
How often is AAL's fair price updated?+
We update fair price calculations for AAL daily after market close. The current fair price of $17.24 incorporates the latest market data and sector multiples.
What factors affect AAL's fair price calculation?+
AAL's fair price of $17.24 is derived from DCF analysis (50% weight), relative valuation against Industrials peers (30% weight), and analyst consensus (20% weight). Key metrics include P/E of 68.5x, ROE of -2.8%.
Is AAL a good buy right now?+
At $11.54, AAL trades 49.5% below our fair value estimate of $17.24. The stock is currently undervalued. ROE stands at -2.8% (average). Fair Price Index provides valuation data — always do your own research before investing.
Does AAL pay dividends?+
AAL does not currently pay a dividend.
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Fair Price Index is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Fair value calculations are model-based estimates and may not reflect actual market conditions. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions.