American Airlines
AAL is overvalued
NASDAQ · Industrials
FAIR PRICE
Updated daily
Model: DCF 50% · Relative 30% · Consensus 20%
$13.82
MARKET PRICE
$6.73
FAIR PRICE
$7.09
MARGIN
COMMUNITY BUY ZONE
UNLOCKS AT 10
Where does the market buy AAL?
No one has priced AAL yet — be the first. Every investor sets the maximum price they'd still buy at; together that maps the community buy zone.
COMMUNITY MEDIAN
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BUYERS AT TODAY'S PRICE
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0/10 INVESTORS · 10 MORE TO UNLOCK
METRICS
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FPI RATING
Attractive valuation and stable earnings and revenue, but limited growth momentum and below-average fundamental quality.
Analytical data, not an investment recommendation. Updated daily.
How we calculate this ↗MARGIN OF SAFETY
A 20% margin of safety below fair value — the conservative entry level for risk-aware investors.
SAFETY MARGIN
20%
Below fair value
ENTRY LEVEL
$5.38
Fair price × 0.80
DISTANCE
61.0%
Price to entry level
At the current price of $13.82, AAL trades 61.0% above the conservative entry level of $5.38. This entry level represents a 20% margin of safety below the calculated fair price of $6.73 — a buffer that accounts for estimation uncertainty in the valuation model.
Margin of safety is a risk management concept, not an investment recommendation. The 20% threshold follows Benjamin Graham's value investing framework. Fair price and entry levels are model-based estimates updated daily. Learn more about Margin of Safety ↗
VALUATION HISTORY
SYNCING FEED ▌
P/E RATIO HISTORY
SYNCING FEED ▌
METHODOLOGY
How we calculate AAL's fair price
American Airlines's fair price of $6.73 is derived from a blended model that combines DCF analysis (50%), relative valuation against Industrials peers using metrics like P/E and EV/EBITDA (30%), and analyst consensus (20%). At the current market price of $13.82, AAL trades 51.3% above its calculated fair value.
DCF MODEL · 50%
Discounted free cash flow analysis based on projected cash flows, discounted at a rate reflecting AAL's risk profile.
RELATIVE · 30%
Comparing AAL's valuation multiples against Industrials peers to determine if the stock is over or undervalued relative to its industry.
ANALYST · 20%
Aggregated analyst price targets for AAL, weighted by recency and analyst accuracy.
TRY IT YOURSELF
Want to test your own assumptions? Use our free calculators to estimate AAL's fair value with your own inputs.
AAL DCF Calculator
Pre-filled with AAL's real free cash flow and share count — set your own growth and discount rate to calculate intrinsic value.
Graham Number
Enter AAL's EPS and book value to see the maximum price Benjamin Graham would pay for this stock.
P/E Ratio Calculator
Check how much investors pay per dollar of AAL's earnings and compare it against sector benchmarks.
EV/EBITDA Calculator
Compare AAL against peers on a debt-adjusted basis using enterprise value and EBITDA.
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What is the fair price of AAL?+
Based on our blended model combining DCF analysis (50%), relative valuation against Industrials peers (30%), and analyst consensus (20%), the fair price for American Airlines is $6.73. At the current market price of $13.82, AAL trades 51.3% above its calculated fair value.
Is AAL overvalued or undervalued?+
American Airlines is currently overvalued based on our valuation model. The stock trades at $13.82, which is 51.3% above the fair price of $6.73.
What is the margin of safety for AAL?+
With a 20% margin of safety applied to the fair price of $6.73, the conservative entry level for AAL is $5.38. At the current market price of $13.82, the stock trades 61.0% above this entry level. Margin of safety is a risk management concept from Benjamin Graham's value investing framework, not an investment recommendation.
How often is AAL's fair price updated?+
We update fair price calculations for AAL daily after market close. The current fair price of $6.73 incorporates the latest market data and sector multiples.
What factors affect AAL's fair price calculation?+
AAL's fair price of $6.73 is derived from DCF analysis (50% weight), relative valuation against Industrials peers (30% weight), and analyst consensus (20% weight)..
Is AAL a good buy right now?+
At $13.82, AAL trades 51.3% above our fair value estimate of $6.73. The stock is currently overvalued. Fair Price Index provides valuation data — always do your own research before investing.
Does AAL pay dividends?+
AAL does not currently pay a dividend.
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Fair Price Index is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Fair value calculations are model-based estimates and may not reflect actual market conditions. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions.