Valero Energy Corporation
FAIR PRICE VALUATION
Updated daily
Model: DCF 50% · Relative 30% · Consensus 20%
MARKET PRICE
$250.74
FAIR PRICE
$227.17
MARGIN
$23.57
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FPI RATING
Consistent growth trajectory, but expensive valuation relative to fundamentals and volatile earnings pattern.
Analytical data, not an investment recommendation. Updated daily.
How we calculate this ↗MARGIN OF SAFETY
A 20% margin of safety below fair value — the conservative entry level for risk-aware investors.
SAFETY MARGIN
20%
Below fair value
ENTRY LEVEL
$181.74
Fair price × 0.80
DISTANCE
27.5%
Price to entry level
At the current price of $250.74, VLO trades 27.5% above the conservative entry level of $181.74. This entry level represents a 20% margin of safety below the calculated fair price of $227.17 — a buffer that accounts for estimation uncertainty in the valuation model.
Margin of safety is a risk management concept, not an investment recommendation. The 20% threshold follows Benjamin Graham's value investing framework. Fair price and entry levels are model-based estimates updated daily. Learn more about Margin of Safety ↗
VALUATION HISTORY
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P/E RATIO HISTORY
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METHODOLOGY
How we calculate VLO's fair price
Valero Energy Corporation's fair price of $227.17 is derived from a blended model that combines DCF analysis (50%), relative valuation against Energy peers using metrics like P/E and EV/EBITDA (30%), and analyst consensus (20%). At the current market price of $250.74, VLO trades 9.4% above its calculated fair value.
DCF MODEL · 50%
Discounted free cash flow analysis based on projected cash flows, discounted at a rate reflecting VLO's risk profile.
RELATIVE · 30%
Comparing VLO's valuation multiples against Energy peers to determine if the stock is over or undervalued relative to its industry.
ANALYST · 20%
Aggregated analyst price targets for VLO, weighted by recency and analyst accuracy.
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Want to test your own assumptions? Use our free calculators to estimate VLO's fair value with your own inputs.
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What is the fair price of VLO?+
Based on our blended model combining DCF analysis (50%), relative valuation against Energy peers (30%), and analyst consensus (20%), the fair price for Valero Energy Corporation is $227.17. At the current market price of $250.74, VLO trades 9.4% above its calculated fair value.
Is VLO overvalued or undervalued?+
Valero Energy Corporation is currently fair based on our valuation model. The stock trades at $250.74, which is 9.4% above the fair price of $227.17. The P/E ratio of 31.4x is a key metric in the valuation.
What is the margin of safety for VLO?+
With a 20% margin of safety applied to the fair price of $227.17, the conservative entry level for VLO is $181.74. At the current market price of $250.74, the stock trades 27.5% above this entry level. Margin of safety is a risk management concept from Benjamin Graham's value investing framework, not an investment recommendation.
How often is VLO's fair price updated?+
We update fair price calculations for VLO daily after market close. The current fair price of $227.17 incorporates the latest market data and sector multiples.
What factors affect VLO's fair price calculation?+
VLO's fair price of $227.17 is derived from DCF analysis (50% weight), relative valuation against Energy peers (30% weight), and analyst consensus (20% weight). Key metrics include P/E of 31.4x, ROE of 9.7%, and dividend yield of 1.91%.
Is VLO a good buy right now?+
At $250.74, VLO trades 9.4% above our fair value estimate of $227.17. The stock is currently fair. ROE stands at 9.7% (average). Fair Price Index provides valuation data — always do your own research before investing.
Does VLO pay dividends?+
VLO has a dividend yield of 1.91%.
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Fair Price Index is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Fair value calculations are model-based estimates and may not reflect actual market conditions. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions.