MorningStar Partners

OVERVALUEDTXO · NYSE · Energy
TXO·NYSE·Energy
OVERVALUED
MorningStar Partners
47.9%downside
MARKET PRICE
$12.37
FAIR PRICE
$6.44
MARGIN
$5.93
UNDERVALUEDFAIROVERVALUED
P/E RATIO
32.0x
DIV. YIELD
18.35%
ROE
2.5%
MARKET CAP
$698M
FPI
fairpriceindex.com

FAIR PRICE VALUATION

47.9%downside

Updated daily

Model: DCF 50% · Relative 30% · Consensus 20%

MARKET PRICE

$12.37

FAIR PRICE

$6.44

MARGIN

$5.93

UNDERVALUEDFAIROVERVALUED

P/E Ratio

32.0x

What is P/E? →

Div. Yield

18.35%

ROE

2.5%

Average

Market Cap

$698M

Small-cap

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FPI RATING

2.9/ 10

Consistent growth trajectory, but weak profitability margins and volatile earnings pattern.

Analytical data, not an investment recommendation. Updated daily.

How we calculate this ↗

MARGIN OF SAFETY

A 20% margin of safety below fair value — the conservative entry level for risk-aware investors.

$5.15CONSERVATIVE ENTRY
$6.44FAIR PRICE
$12.37MARKET PRICE

SAFETY MARGIN

20%

Below fair value

ENTRY LEVEL

$5.15

Fair price × 0.80

DISTANCE

58.4%

Price to entry level

At the current price of $12.37, TXO trades 58.4% above the conservative entry level of $5.15. This entry level represents a 20% margin of safety below the calculated fair price of $6.44 — a buffer that accounts for estimation uncertainty in the valuation model.

Margin of safety is a risk management concept, not an investment recommendation. The 20% threshold follows Benjamin Graham's value investing framework. Fair price and entry levels are model-based estimates updated daily. Learn more about Margin of Safety ↗

VALUATION HISTORY

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P/E RATIO HISTORY

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METHODOLOGY

How we calculate TXO's fair price

MorningStar Partners's fair price of $6.44 is derived from a blended model that combines DCF analysis (50%), relative valuation against Energy peers using metrics like P/E and EV/EBITDA (30%), and analyst consensus (20%). At the current market price of $12.37, TXO trades 47.9% above its calculated fair value.

DCF MODEL · 50%

Discounted free cash flow analysis based on projected cash flows, discounted at a rate reflecting TXO's risk profile.

RELATIVE · 30%

Comparing TXO's valuation multiples against Energy peers to determine if the stock is over or undervalued relative to its industry.

ANALYST · 20%

Aggregated analyst price targets for TXO, weighted by recency and analyst accuracy.

TRY IT YOURSELF

Want to test your own assumptions? Use our free calculators to estimate TXO's fair value with your own inputs.

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FAQ

What is the fair price of TXO?+

Based on our blended model combining DCF analysis (50%), relative valuation against Energy peers (30%), and analyst consensus (20%), the fair price for MorningStar Partners is $6.44. At the current market price of $12.37, TXO trades 47.9% above its calculated fair value.

Is TXO overvalued or undervalued?+

MorningStar Partners is currently overvalued based on our valuation model. The stock trades at $12.37, which is 47.9% above the fair price of $6.44. The P/E ratio of 32.0x is a key metric in the valuation.

What is the margin of safety for TXO?+

With a 20% margin of safety applied to the fair price of $6.44, the conservative entry level for TXO is $5.15. At the current market price of $12.37, the stock trades 58.4% above this entry level. Margin of safety is a risk management concept from Benjamin Graham's value investing framework, not an investment recommendation.

How often is TXO's fair price updated?+

We update fair price calculations for TXO daily after market close. The current fair price of $6.44 incorporates the latest market data and sector multiples.

What factors affect TXO's fair price calculation?+

TXO's fair price of $6.44 is derived from DCF analysis (50% weight), relative valuation against Energy peers (30% weight), and analyst consensus (20% weight). Key metrics include P/E of 32.0x, ROE of 2.5%, and dividend yield of 18.35%.

Is TXO a good buy right now?+

At $12.37, TXO trades 47.9% above our fair value estimate of $6.44. The stock is currently overvalued. ROE stands at 2.5% (average). Fair Price Index provides valuation data — always do your own research before investing.

Does TXO pay dividends?+

TXO has a dividend yield of 18.35%.

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Fair Price Index is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Fair value calculations are model-based estimates and may not reflect actual market conditions. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions.