Simon Property Group, Inc.
FAIR PRICE VALUATION
Updated daily
Model: DCF 50% · Relative 30% · Consensus 20%
MARKET PRICE
$53.87
FAIR PRICE
$45.96
MARGIN
$7.91
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FPI RATING
Strong profitability and low debt levels, but below-average fundamental quality and volatile earnings pattern.
Analytical data, not an investment recommendation. Updated daily.
How we calculate this ↗MARGIN OF SAFETY
A 20% margin of safety below fair value — the conservative entry level for risk-aware investors.
SAFETY MARGIN
20%
Below fair value
ENTRY LEVEL
$36.77
Fair price × 0.80
DISTANCE
31.7%
Price to entry level
At the current price of $53.87, SPG-PJ trades 31.7% above the conservative entry level of $36.77. This entry level represents a 20% margin of safety below the calculated fair price of $45.96 — a buffer that accounts for estimation uncertainty in the valuation model.
Margin of safety is a risk management concept, not an investment recommendation. The 20% threshold follows Benjamin Graham's value investing framework. Fair price and entry levels are model-based estimates updated daily. Learn more about Margin of Safety ↗
VALUATION HISTORY
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P/E RATIO HISTORY
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METHODOLOGY
How we calculate SPG-PJ's fair price
Simon Property Group, Inc.'s fair price of $45.96 is derived from a blended model that combines DCF analysis (50%), relative valuation against Real Estate peers using metrics like P/E and EV/EBITDA (30%), and analyst consensus (20%). At the current market price of $53.87, SPG-PJ trades 14.7% above its calculated fair value.
DCF MODEL · 50%
Discounted free cash flow analysis based on projected cash flows, discounted at a rate reflecting SPG-PJ's risk profile.
RELATIVE · 30%
Comparing SPG-PJ's valuation multiples against Real Estate peers to determine if the stock is over or undervalued relative to its industry.
ANALYST · 20%
Aggregated analyst price targets for SPG-PJ, weighted by recency and analyst accuracy.
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What is the fair price of SPG-PJ?+
Based on our blended model combining DCF analysis (50%), relative valuation against Real Estate peers (30%), and analyst consensus (20%), the fair price for Simon Property Group, Inc. is $45.96. At the current market price of $53.87, SPG-PJ trades 14.7% above its calculated fair value.
Is SPG-PJ overvalued or undervalued?+
Simon Property Group, Inc. is currently overvalued based on our valuation model. The stock trades at $53.87, which is 14.7% above the fair price of $45.96. The P/E ratio of 3.8x is a key metric in the valuation.
What is the margin of safety for SPG-PJ?+
With a 20% margin of safety applied to the fair price of $45.96, the conservative entry level for SPG-PJ is $36.77. At the current market price of $53.87, the stock trades 31.7% above this entry level. Margin of safety is a risk management concept from Benjamin Graham's value investing framework, not an investment recommendation.
How often is SPG-PJ's fair price updated?+
We update fair price calculations for SPG-PJ daily after market close. The current fair price of $45.96 incorporates the latest market data and sector multiples.
What factors affect SPG-PJ's fair price calculation?+
SPG-PJ's fair price of $45.96 is derived from DCF analysis (50% weight), relative valuation against Real Estate peers (30% weight), and analyst consensus (20% weight). Key metrics include P/E of 3.8x, ROE of 262.7%, and dividend yield of 7.77%.
Is SPG-PJ a good buy right now?+
At $53.87, SPG-PJ trades 14.7% above our fair value estimate of $45.96. The stock is currently overvalued. ROE stands at 262.7% (exceptional). Fair Price Index provides valuation data — always do your own research before investing.
Does SPG-PJ pay dividends?+
SPG-PJ has a dividend yield of 7.77%.
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Fair Price Index is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Fair value calculations are model-based estimates and may not reflect actual market conditions. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions.