Simon Property Group, Inc.
FAIR PRICE VALUATION
Updated daily
Model: DCF 50% · Relative 30% · Consensus 20%
MARKET PRICE
$202.01
FAIR PRICE
$144.37
MARGIN
$57.64
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FPI RATING
Strong profitability and low debt levels, but below-average fundamental quality and volatile earnings pattern.
Analytical data, not an investment recommendation. Updated daily.
How we calculate this ↗MARGIN OF SAFETY
A 20% margin of safety below fair value — the conservative entry level for risk-aware investors.
SAFETY MARGIN
20%
Below fair value
ENTRY LEVEL
$115.50
Fair price × 0.80
DISTANCE
42.8%
Price to entry level
At the current price of $202.01, SPG trades 42.8% above the conservative entry level of $115.50. This entry level represents a 20% margin of safety below the calculated fair price of $144.37 — a buffer that accounts for estimation uncertainty in the valuation model.
Margin of safety is a risk management concept, not an investment recommendation. The 20% threshold follows Benjamin Graham's value investing framework. Fair price and entry levels are model-based estimates updated daily. Learn more about Margin of Safety ↗
VALUATION HISTORY
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P/E RATIO HISTORY
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METHODOLOGY
How we calculate SPG's fair price
Simon Property Group, Inc.'s fair price of $144.37 is derived from a blended model that combines DCF analysis (50%), relative valuation against Real Estate peers using metrics like P/E and EV/EBITDA (30%), and analyst consensus (20%). At the current market price of $202.01, SPG trades 28.5% above its calculated fair value.
DCF MODEL · 50%
Discounted free cash flow analysis based on projected cash flows, discounted at a rate reflecting SPG's risk profile.
RELATIVE · 30%
Comparing SPG's valuation multiples against Real Estate peers to determine if the stock is over or undervalued relative to its industry.
ANALYST · 20%
Aggregated analyst price targets for SPG, weighted by recency and analyst accuracy.
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Want to test your own assumptions? Use our free calculators to estimate SPG's fair value with your own inputs.
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What is the fair price of SPG?+
Based on our blended model combining DCF analysis (50%), relative valuation against Real Estate peers (30%), and analyst consensus (20%), the fair price for Simon Property Group, Inc. is $144.37. At the current market price of $202.01, SPG trades 28.5% above its calculated fair value.
Is SPG overvalued or undervalued?+
Simon Property Group, Inc. is currently overvalued based on our valuation model. The stock trades at $202.01, which is 28.5% above the fair price of $144.37. The P/E ratio of 42.0x is a key metric in the valuation.
What is the margin of safety for SPG?+
With a 20% margin of safety applied to the fair price of $144.37, the conservative entry level for SPG is $115.50. At the current market price of $202.01, the stock trades 42.8% above this entry level. Margin of safety is a risk management concept from Benjamin Graham's value investing framework, not an investment recommendation.
How often is SPG's fair price updated?+
We update fair price calculations for SPG daily after market close. The current fair price of $144.37 incorporates the latest market data and sector multiples.
What factors affect SPG's fair price calculation?+
SPG's fair price of $144.37 is derived from DCF analysis (50% weight), relative valuation against Real Estate peers (30% weight), and analyst consensus (20% weight). Key metrics include P/E of 42.0x, ROE of 89.1%, and dividend yield of 4.27%.
Is SPG a good buy right now?+
At $202.01, SPG trades 28.5% above our fair value estimate of $144.37. The stock is currently overvalued. ROE stands at 89.1% (exceptional). Fair Price Index provides valuation data — always do your own research before investing.
Does SPG pay dividends?+
SPG has a dividend yield of 4.27%.
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Fair Price Index is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Fair value calculations are model-based estimates and may not reflect actual market conditions. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions.