Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras
FAIR PRICE VALUATION
Updated daily
Model: DCF 50% · Relative 30% · Consensus 20%
MARKET PRICE
$19.59
FAIR PRICE
$18.88
MARGIN
$0.71
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FPI RATING
Strong profitability and attractive valuation, but volatile earnings pattern.
Analytical data, not an investment recommendation. Updated daily.
How we calculate this ↗MARGIN OF SAFETY
A 20% margin of safety below fair value — the conservative entry level for risk-aware investors.
SAFETY MARGIN
20%
Below fair value
ENTRY LEVEL
$15.10
Fair price × 0.80
DISTANCE
22.9%
Price to entry level
At the current price of $19.59, PBR-A trades 22.9% above the conservative entry level of $15.10. This entry level represents a 20% margin of safety below the calculated fair price of $18.88 — a buffer that accounts for estimation uncertainty in the valuation model.
Margin of safety is a risk management concept, not an investment recommendation. The 20% threshold follows Benjamin Graham's value investing framework. Fair price and entry levels are model-based estimates updated daily. Learn more about Margin of Safety ↗
VALUATION HISTORY
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P/E RATIO HISTORY
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METHODOLOGY
How we calculate PBR-A's fair price
Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras's fair price of $18.88 is derived from a blended model that combines DCF analysis (50%), relative valuation against Energy peers using metrics like P/E and EV/EBITDA (30%), and analyst consensus (20%). At the current market price of $19.59, PBR-A trades 3.6% above its calculated fair value.
DCF MODEL · 50%
Discounted free cash flow analysis based on projected cash flows, discounted at a rate reflecting PBR-A's risk profile.
RELATIVE · 30%
Comparing PBR-A's valuation multiples against Energy peers to determine if the stock is over or undervalued relative to its industry.
ANALYST · 20%
Aggregated analyst price targets for PBR-A, weighted by recency and analyst accuracy.
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What is the fair price of PBR-A?+
Based on our blended model combining DCF analysis (50%), relative valuation against Energy peers (30%), and analyst consensus (20%), the fair price for Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras is $18.88. At the current market price of $19.59, PBR-A trades 3.6% above its calculated fair value.
Is PBR-A overvalued or undervalued?+
Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras is currently fair based on our valuation model. The stock trades at $19.59, which is 3.6% above the fair price of $18.88. The P/E ratio of 6.3x is a key metric in the valuation.
What is the margin of safety for PBR-A?+
With a 20% margin of safety applied to the fair price of $18.88, the conservative entry level for PBR-A is $15.10. At the current market price of $19.59, the stock trades 22.9% above this entry level. Margin of safety is a risk management concept from Benjamin Graham's value investing framework, not an investment recommendation.
How often is PBR-A's fair price updated?+
We update fair price calculations for PBR-A daily after market close. The current fair price of $18.88 incorporates the latest market data and sector multiples.
What factors affect PBR-A's fair price calculation?+
PBR-A's fair price of $18.88 is derived from DCF analysis (50% weight), relative valuation against Energy peers (30% weight), and analyst consensus (20% weight). Key metrics include P/E of 6.3x, ROE of 26.4%, and dividend yield of 6.78%.
Is PBR-A a good buy right now?+
At $19.59, PBR-A trades 3.6% above our fair value estimate of $18.88. The stock is currently fair. ROE stands at 26.4% (exceptional). Fair Price Index provides valuation data — always do your own research before investing.
Does PBR-A pay dividends?+
PBR-A has a dividend yield of 6.78%.
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Fair Price Index is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Fair value calculations are model-based estimates and may not reflect actual market conditions. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions.