Northern Trust
FAIR PRICE VALUATION
Updated daily
Model: DCF 50% · Relative 30% · Consensus 20%
MARKET PRICE
$166.18
FAIR PRICE
$113.41
MARGIN
$52.77
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FPI RATING
High-quality fundamentals and stable earnings and revenue, but expensive valuation relative to fundamentals and weak profitability margins.
Analytical data, not an investment recommendation. Updated daily.
How we calculate this ↗MARGIN OF SAFETY
A 20% margin of safety below fair value — the conservative entry level for risk-aware investors.
SAFETY MARGIN
20%
Below fair value
ENTRY LEVEL
$90.73
Fair price × 0.80
DISTANCE
45.4%
Price to entry level
At the current price of $166.18, NTRS trades 45.4% above the conservative entry level of $90.73. This entry level represents a 20% margin of safety below the calculated fair price of $113.41 — a buffer that accounts for estimation uncertainty in the valuation model.
Margin of safety is a risk management concept, not an investment recommendation. The 20% threshold follows Benjamin Graham's value investing framework. Fair price and entry levels are model-based estimates updated daily. Learn more about Margin of Safety ↗
VALUATION HISTORY
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P/E RATIO HISTORY
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METHODOLOGY
How we calculate NTRS's fair price
Northern Trust's fair price of $113.41 is derived from a blended model that combines DCF analysis (50%), relative valuation against Financial Services peers using metrics like P/E and EV/EBITDA (30%), and analyst consensus (20%). At the current market price of $166.18, NTRS trades 31.8% above its calculated fair value.
DCF MODEL · 50%
Discounted free cash flow analysis based on projected cash flows, discounted at a rate reflecting NTRS's risk profile.
RELATIVE · 30%
Comparing NTRS's valuation multiples against Financial Services peers to determine if the stock is over or undervalued relative to its industry.
ANALYST · 20%
Aggregated analyst price targets for NTRS, weighted by recency and analyst accuracy.
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Want to test your own assumptions? Use our free calculators to estimate NTRS's fair value with your own inputs.
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What is the fair price of NTRS?+
Based on our blended model combining DCF analysis (50%), relative valuation against Financial Services peers (30%), and analyst consensus (20%), the fair price for Northern Trust is $113.41. At the current market price of $166.18, NTRS trades 31.8% above its calculated fair value.
Is NTRS overvalued or undervalued?+
Northern Trust is currently overvalued based on our valuation model. The stock trades at $166.18, which is 31.8% above the fair price of $113.41. The P/E ratio of 18.3x is a key metric in the valuation.
What is the margin of safety for NTRS?+
With a 20% margin of safety applied to the fair price of $113.41, the conservative entry level for NTRS is $90.73. At the current market price of $166.18, the stock trades 45.4% above this entry level. Margin of safety is a risk management concept from Benjamin Graham's value investing framework, not an investment recommendation.
How often is NTRS's fair price updated?+
We update fair price calculations for NTRS daily after market close. The current fair price of $113.41 incorporates the latest market data and sector multiples.
What factors affect NTRS's fair price calculation?+
NTRS's fair price of $113.41 is derived from DCF analysis (50% weight), relative valuation against Financial Services peers (30% weight), and analyst consensus (20% weight). Key metrics include P/E of 18.3x, ROE of 13.9%, and dividend yield of 2.40%.
Is NTRS a good buy right now?+
At $166.18, NTRS trades 31.8% above our fair value estimate of $113.41. The stock is currently overvalued. ROE stands at 13.9% (average). Fair Price Index provides valuation data — always do your own research before investing.
Does NTRS pay dividends?+
NTRS has a dividend yield of 2.40%.
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Fair Price Index is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Fair value calculations are model-based estimates and may not reflect actual market conditions. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions.