Moog Inc.
FAIR PRICE VALUATION
Updated daily
Model: DCF 50% · Relative 30% · Consensus 20%
MARKET PRICE
$307.26
FAIR PRICE
$159.13
MARGIN
$148.13
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FPI RATING
Low debt levels, but expensive valuation relative to fundamentals and weak profitability margins.
Analytical data, not an investment recommendation. Updated daily.
How we calculate this ↗MARGIN OF SAFETY
A 20% margin of safety below fair value — the conservative entry level for risk-aware investors.
SAFETY MARGIN
20%
Below fair value
ENTRY LEVEL
$127.30
Fair price × 0.80
DISTANCE
58.6%
Price to entry level
At the current price of $307.26, MOG-A trades 58.6% above the conservative entry level of $127.30. This entry level represents a 20% margin of safety below the calculated fair price of $159.13 — a buffer that accounts for estimation uncertainty in the valuation model.
Margin of safety is a risk management concept, not an investment recommendation. The 20% threshold follows Benjamin Graham's value investing framework. Fair price and entry levels are model-based estimates updated daily. Learn more about Margin of Safety ↗
VALUATION HISTORY
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P/E RATIO HISTORY
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METHODOLOGY
How we calculate MOG-A's fair price
Moog Inc.'s fair price of $159.13 is derived from a blended model that combines DCF analysis (50%), relative valuation against Industrials peers using metrics like P/E and EV/EBITDA (30%), and analyst consensus (20%). At the current market price of $307.26, MOG-A trades 48.2% above its calculated fair value.
DCF MODEL · 50%
Discounted free cash flow analysis based on projected cash flows, discounted at a rate reflecting MOG-A's risk profile.
RELATIVE · 30%
Comparing MOG-A's valuation multiples against Industrials peers to determine if the stock is over or undervalued relative to its industry.
ANALYST · 20%
Aggregated analyst price targets for MOG-A, weighted by recency and analyst accuracy.
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What is the fair price of MOG-A?+
Based on our blended model combining DCF analysis (50%), relative valuation against Industrials peers (30%), and analyst consensus (20%), the fair price for Moog Inc. is $159.13. At the current market price of $307.26, MOG-A trades 48.2% above its calculated fair value.
Is MOG-A overvalued or undervalued?+
Moog Inc. is currently overvalued based on our valuation model. The stock trades at $307.26, which is 48.2% above the fair price of $159.13. The P/E ratio of 41.6x is a key metric in the valuation.
What is the margin of safety for MOG-A?+
With a 20% margin of safety applied to the fair price of $159.13, the conservative entry level for MOG-A is $127.30. At the current market price of $307.26, the stock trades 58.6% above this entry level. Margin of safety is a risk management concept from Benjamin Graham's value investing framework, not an investment recommendation.
How often is MOG-A's fair price updated?+
We update fair price calculations for MOG-A daily after market close. The current fair price of $159.13 incorporates the latest market data and sector multiples.
What factors affect MOG-A's fair price calculation?+
MOG-A's fair price of $159.13 is derived from DCF analysis (50% weight), relative valuation against Industrials peers (30% weight), and analyst consensus (20% weight). Key metrics include P/E of 41.6x, ROE of 12.4%, and dividend yield of 0.49%.
Is MOG-A a good buy right now?+
At $307.26, MOG-A trades 48.2% above our fair value estimate of $159.13. The stock is currently overvalued. ROE stands at 12.4% (average). Fair Price Index provides valuation data — always do your own research before investing.
Does MOG-A pay dividends?+
MOG-A has a dividend yield of 0.49%.
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Fair Price Index is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Fair value calculations are model-based estimates and may not reflect actual market conditions. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions.