Hercules Capital, Inc.
FAIR PRICE VALUATION
Updated daily
Model: DCF 50% · Relative 30% · Consensus 20%
MARKET PRICE
$15.86
FAIR PRICE
$23.05
MARGIN
$7.20
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FPI RATING
Low debt levels, but volatile earnings pattern and below-average fundamental quality.
Analytical data, not an investment recommendation. Updated daily.
How we calculate this ↗MARGIN OF SAFETY
A 20% margin of safety below fair value — the conservative entry level for risk-aware investors.
SAFETY MARGIN
20%
Below fair value
ENTRY LEVEL
$18.44
Fair price × 0.80
DISTANCE
16.3%
Price to entry level
At the current price of $15.86, HTGC trades 16.3% below the conservative entry level of $18.44. The stock is currently priced below the 20% margin of safety threshold, indicating a potential value opportunity based on the model.
Margin of safety is a risk management concept, not an investment recommendation. The 20% threshold follows Benjamin Graham's value investing framework. Fair price and entry levels are model-based estimates updated daily. Learn more about Margin of Safety ↗
VALUATION HISTORY
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P/E RATIO HISTORY
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METHODOLOGY
How we calculate HTGC's fair price
Hercules Capital, Inc.'s fair price of $23.05 is derived from a blended model that combines DCF analysis (50%), relative valuation against Financial Services peers using metrics like P/E and EV/EBITDA (30%), and analyst consensus (20%). At the current market price of $15.86, HTGC trades 45.4% below its calculated fair value.
DCF MODEL · 50%
Discounted free cash flow analysis based on projected cash flows, discounted at a rate reflecting HTGC's risk profile.
RELATIVE · 30%
Comparing HTGC's valuation multiples against Financial Services peers to determine if the stock is over or undervalued relative to its industry.
ANALYST · 20%
Aggregated analyst price targets for HTGC, weighted by recency and analyst accuracy.
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What is the fair price of HTGC?+
Based on our blended model combining DCF analysis (50%), relative valuation against Financial Services peers (30%), and analyst consensus (20%), the fair price for Hercules Capital, Inc. is $23.05. At the current market price of $15.86, HTGC trades 45.4% below its calculated fair value.
Is HTGC overvalued or undervalued?+
Hercules Capital, Inc. is currently undervalued based on our valuation model. The stock trades at $15.86, which is 45.4% below the fair price of $23.05. The P/E ratio of 8.5x is a key metric in the valuation.
What is the margin of safety for HTGC?+
With a 20% margin of safety applied to the fair price of $23.05, the conservative entry level for HTGC is $18.44. At the current market price of $15.86, the stock trades 16.3% below this entry level. Margin of safety is a risk management concept from Benjamin Graham's value investing framework, not an investment recommendation.
How often is HTGC's fair price updated?+
We update fair price calculations for HTGC daily after market close. The current fair price of $23.05 incorporates the latest market data and sector multiples.
What factors affect HTGC's fair price calculation?+
HTGC's fair price of $23.05 is derived from DCF analysis (50% weight), relative valuation against Financial Services peers (30% weight), and analyst consensus (20% weight). Key metrics include P/E of 8.5x, ROE of 0.0%, and dividend yield of 12.01%.
Is HTGC a good buy right now?+
At $15.86, HTGC trades 45.4% below our fair value estimate of $23.05. The stock is currently undervalued. ROE stands at 0.0% (average). Fair Price Index provides valuation data — always do your own research before investing.
Does HTGC pay dividends?+
HTGC has a dividend yield of 12.01%.
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Fair Price Index is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Fair value calculations are model-based estimates and may not reflect actual market conditions. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions.