Hilton Grand Vacations
FAIR PRICE VALUATION
Updated daily
Model: DCF 50% · Relative 30% · Consensus 20%
MARKET PRICE
$47.24
FAIR PRICE
$26.26
MARGIN
$20.98
NOW AVAILABLE
Get notified when HGV's fair price changes
Push notifications when HGV's valuation shifts. Available on iOS and Android.
FPI RATING
Low debt levels and consistent growth trajectory, but expensive valuation relative to fundamentals and below-average fundamental quality.
Analytical data, not an investment recommendation. Updated daily.
How we calculate this ↗MARGIN OF SAFETY
A 20% margin of safety below fair value — the conservative entry level for risk-aware investors.
SAFETY MARGIN
20%
Below fair value
ENTRY LEVEL
$21.01
Fair price × 0.80
DISTANCE
55.5%
Price to entry level
At the current price of $47.24, HGV trades 55.5% above the conservative entry level of $21.01. This entry level represents a 20% margin of safety below the calculated fair price of $26.26 — a buffer that accounts for estimation uncertainty in the valuation model.
Margin of safety is a risk management concept, not an investment recommendation. The 20% threshold follows Benjamin Graham's value investing framework. Fair price and entry levels are model-based estimates updated daily. Learn more about Margin of Safety ↗
VALUATION HISTORY
Loading chart data...
P/E RATIO HISTORY
Loading chart data...
METHODOLOGY
How we calculate HGV's fair price
Hilton Grand Vacations's fair price of $26.26 is derived from a blended model that combines DCF analysis (50%), relative valuation against Consumer Cyclical peers using metrics like P/E and EV/EBITDA (30%), and analyst consensus (20%). At the current market price of $47.24, HGV trades 44.4% above its calculated fair value.
DCF MODEL · 50%
Discounted free cash flow analysis based on projected cash flows, discounted at a rate reflecting HGV's risk profile.
RELATIVE · 30%
Comparing HGV's valuation multiples against Consumer Cyclical peers to determine if the stock is over or undervalued relative to its industry.
ANALYST · 20%
Aggregated analyst price targets for HGV, weighted by recency and analyst accuracy.
TRY IT YOURSELF
Want to test your own assumptions? Use our free calculators to estimate HGV's fair value with your own inputs.
LEARN MORE
POWERED BY BULIOS
Get full analysis, financials, and AI insights for HGV.
Explore on BuliosFAQ
What is the fair price of HGV?+
Based on our blended model combining DCF analysis (50%), relative valuation against Consumer Cyclical peers (30%), and analyst consensus (20%), the fair price for Hilton Grand Vacations is $26.26. At the current market price of $47.24, HGV trades 44.4% above its calculated fair value.
Is HGV overvalued or undervalued?+
Hilton Grand Vacations is currently overvalued based on our valuation model. The stock trades at $47.24, which is 44.4% above the fair price of $26.26. The P/E ratio of 48.7x is a key metric in the valuation.
What is the margin of safety for HGV?+
With a 20% margin of safety applied to the fair price of $26.26, the conservative entry level for HGV is $21.01. At the current market price of $47.24, the stock trades 55.5% above this entry level. Margin of safety is a risk management concept from Benjamin Graham's value investing framework, not an investment recommendation.
How often is HGV's fair price updated?+
We update fair price calculations for HGV daily after market close. The current fair price of $26.26 incorporates the latest market data and sector multiples.
What factors affect HGV's fair price calculation?+
HGV's fair price of $26.26 is derived from DCF analysis (50% weight), relative valuation against Consumer Cyclical peers (30% weight), and analyst consensus (20% weight). Key metrics include P/E of 48.7x, ROE of 17.5%.
Is HGV a good buy right now?+
At $47.24, HGV trades 44.4% above our fair value estimate of $26.26. The stock is currently overvalued. ROE stands at 17.5% (strong). Fair Price Index provides valuation data — always do your own research before investing.
Does HGV pay dividends?+
HGV does not currently pay a dividend.
RELATED STOCKS
Fair Price Index is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Fair value calculations are model-based estimates and may not reflect actual market conditions. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions.