Hess Midstream LP

OVERVALUEDHESM · NYSE · Energy
HESM·NYSE·Energy
OVERVALUED
Hess Midstream LP
15.0%downside
MARKET PRICE
$38.94
FAIR PRICE
$33.08
MARGIN
$5.86
UNDERVALUEDFAIROVERVALUED
P/E RATIO
13.4x
DIV. YIELD
7.74%
ROE
61.4%
MARKET CAP
$8B
FPI
fairpriceindex.com

FAIR PRICE VALUATION

15.0%downside

Updated daily

Model: DCF 50% · Relative 30% · Consensus 20%

MARKET PRICE

$38.94

FAIR PRICE

$33.08

MARGIN

$5.86

UNDERVALUEDFAIROVERVALUED

P/E Ratio

13.4x

What is P/E? →

Div. Yield

7.74%

ROE

61.4%

Exceptional

Market Cap

$8B

Mid-cap

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FPI RATING

4.9/ 10

Strong profitability and high-quality fundamentals, but elevated debt levels and volatile earnings pattern.

Analytical data, not an investment recommendation. Updated daily.

How we calculate this ↗

MARGIN OF SAFETY

A 20% margin of safety below fair value — the conservative entry level for risk-aware investors.

$26.46CONSERVATIVE ENTRY
$33.08FAIR PRICE
$38.94MARKET PRICE

SAFETY MARGIN

20%

Below fair value

ENTRY LEVEL

$26.46

Fair price × 0.80

DISTANCE

32.0%

Price to entry level

At the current price of $38.94, HESM trades 32.0% above the conservative entry level of $26.46. This entry level represents a 20% margin of safety below the calculated fair price of $33.08 — a buffer that accounts for estimation uncertainty in the valuation model.

Margin of safety is a risk management concept, not an investment recommendation. The 20% threshold follows Benjamin Graham's value investing framework. Fair price and entry levels are model-based estimates updated daily. Learn more about Margin of Safety ↗

VALUATION HISTORY

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P/E RATIO HISTORY

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METHODOLOGY

How we calculate HESM's fair price

Hess Midstream LP's fair price of $33.08 is derived from a blended model that combines DCF analysis (50%), relative valuation against Energy peers using metrics like P/E and EV/EBITDA (30%), and analyst consensus (20%). At the current market price of $38.94, HESM trades 15.0% above its calculated fair value.

DCF MODEL · 50%

Discounted free cash flow analysis based on projected cash flows, discounted at a rate reflecting HESM's risk profile.

RELATIVE · 30%

Comparing HESM's valuation multiples against Energy peers to determine if the stock is over or undervalued relative to its industry.

ANALYST · 20%

Aggregated analyst price targets for HESM, weighted by recency and analyst accuracy.

TRY IT YOURSELF

Want to test your own assumptions? Use our free calculators to estimate HESM's fair value with your own inputs.

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FAQ

What is the fair price of HESM?+

Based on our blended model combining DCF analysis (50%), relative valuation against Energy peers (30%), and analyst consensus (20%), the fair price for Hess Midstream LP is $33.08. At the current market price of $38.94, HESM trades 15.0% above its calculated fair value.

Is HESM overvalued or undervalued?+

Hess Midstream LP is currently overvalued based on our valuation model. The stock trades at $38.94, which is 15.0% above the fair price of $33.08. The P/E ratio of 13.4x is a key metric in the valuation.

What is the margin of safety for HESM?+

With a 20% margin of safety applied to the fair price of $33.08, the conservative entry level for HESM is $26.46. At the current market price of $38.94, the stock trades 32.0% above this entry level. Margin of safety is a risk management concept from Benjamin Graham's value investing framework, not an investment recommendation.

How often is HESM's fair price updated?+

We update fair price calculations for HESM daily after market close. The current fair price of $33.08 incorporates the latest market data and sector multiples.

What factors affect HESM's fair price calculation?+

HESM's fair price of $33.08 is derived from DCF analysis (50% weight), relative valuation against Energy peers (30% weight), and analyst consensus (20% weight). Key metrics include P/E of 13.4x, ROE of 61.4%, and dividend yield of 7.74%.

Is HESM a good buy right now?+

At $38.94, HESM trades 15.0% above our fair value estimate of $33.08. The stock is currently overvalued. ROE stands at 61.4% (exceptional). Fair Price Index provides valuation data — always do your own research before investing.

Does HESM pay dividends?+

HESM has a dividend yield of 7.74%.

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Fair Price Index is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Fair value calculations are model-based estimates and may not reflect actual market conditions. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions.