FedEx

OVERVALUEDFDX · NYSE · Industrials
FDX·NYSE·Industrials
OVERVALUED
FedEx
39.4%downside
MARKET PRICE
$393.53
FAIR PRICE
$238.37
MARGIN
$155.16
UNDERVALUEDFAIROVERVALUED
P/E RATIO
21.1x
DIV. YIELD
1.49%
ROE
21.5%
MARKET CAP
$93B
FPI
fairpriceindex.com

FAIR PRICE VALUATION

39.4%downside

Updated daily

Model: DCF 50% · Relative 30% · Consensus 20%

MARKET PRICE

$393.53

FAIR PRICE

$238.37

MARGIN

$155.16

UNDERVALUEDFAIROVERVALUED

P/E Ratio

21.1x

What is P/E? →

Div. Yield

1.49%

ROE

21.5%

Strong

Market Cap

$93B

Large-cap

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FPI RATING

5.0/ 10

Consistent growth trajectory and high-quality fundamentals, but weak profitability margins.

Analytical data, not an investment recommendation. Updated daily.

How we calculate this ↗

MARGIN OF SAFETY

A 20% margin of safety below fair value — the conservative entry level for risk-aware investors.

$190.70CONSERVATIVE ENTRY
$238.37FAIR PRICE
$393.53MARKET PRICE

SAFETY MARGIN

20%

Below fair value

ENTRY LEVEL

$190.70

Fair price × 0.80

DISTANCE

51.5%

Price to entry level

At the current price of $393.53, FDX trades 51.5% above the conservative entry level of $190.70. This entry level represents a 20% margin of safety below the calculated fair price of $238.37 — a buffer that accounts for estimation uncertainty in the valuation model.

Margin of safety is a risk management concept, not an investment recommendation. The 20% threshold follows Benjamin Graham's value investing framework. Fair price and entry levels are model-based estimates updated daily. Learn more about Margin of Safety ↗

VALUATION HISTORY

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P/E RATIO HISTORY

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METHODOLOGY

How we calculate FDX's fair price

FedEx's fair price of $238.37 is derived from a blended model that combines DCF analysis (50%), relative valuation against Industrials peers using metrics like P/E and EV/EBITDA (30%), and analyst consensus (20%). At the current market price of $393.53, FDX trades 39.4% above its calculated fair value.

DCF MODEL · 50%

Discounted free cash flow analysis based on projected cash flows, discounted at a rate reflecting FDX's risk profile.

RELATIVE · 30%

Comparing FDX's valuation multiples against Industrials peers to determine if the stock is over or undervalued relative to its industry.

ANALYST · 20%

Aggregated analyst price targets for FDX, weighted by recency and analyst accuracy.

TRY IT YOURSELF

Want to test your own assumptions? Use our free calculators to estimate FDX's fair value with your own inputs.

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FAQ

What is the fair price of FDX?+

Based on our blended model combining DCF analysis (50%), relative valuation against Industrials peers (30%), and analyst consensus (20%), the fair price for FedEx is $238.37. At the current market price of $393.53, FDX trades 39.4% above its calculated fair value.

Is FDX overvalued or undervalued?+

FedEx is currently overvalued based on our valuation model. The stock trades at $393.53, which is 39.4% above the fair price of $238.37. The P/E ratio of 21.1x is a key metric in the valuation.

What is the margin of safety for FDX?+

With a 20% margin of safety applied to the fair price of $238.37, the conservative entry level for FDX is $190.70. At the current market price of $393.53, the stock trades 51.5% above this entry level. Margin of safety is a risk management concept from Benjamin Graham's value investing framework, not an investment recommendation.

How often is FDX's fair price updated?+

We update fair price calculations for FDX daily after market close. The current fair price of $238.37 incorporates the latest market data and sector multiples.

What factors affect FDX's fair price calculation?+

FDX's fair price of $238.37 is derived from DCF analysis (50% weight), relative valuation against Industrials peers (30% weight), and analyst consensus (20% weight). Key metrics include P/E of 21.1x, ROE of 21.5%, and dividend yield of 1.49%.

Is FDX a good buy right now?+

At $393.53, FDX trades 39.4% above our fair value estimate of $238.37. The stock is currently overvalued. ROE stands at 21.5% (strong). Fair Price Index provides valuation data — always do your own research before investing.

Does FDX pay dividends?+

FDX has a dividend yield of 1.49%.

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Fair Price Index is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Fair value calculations are model-based estimates and may not reflect actual market conditions. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions.