Empire State Realty Trust, Inc.
FAIR PRICE VALUATION
Updated daily
Model: DCF 50% · Relative 30% · Consensus 20%
MARKET PRICE
$5.67
FAIR PRICE
$9.26
MARGIN
$3.58
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FPI RATING
Attractive valuation, but volatile earnings pattern and elevated debt levels.
Analytical data, not an investment recommendation. Updated daily.
How we calculate this ↗MARGIN OF SAFETY
A 20% margin of safety below fair value — the conservative entry level for risk-aware investors.
SAFETY MARGIN
20%
Below fair value
ENTRY LEVEL
$7.41
Fair price × 0.80
DISTANCE
30.5%
Price to entry level
At the current price of $5.67, ESRT trades 30.5% below the conservative entry level of $7.41. The stock is currently priced below the 20% margin of safety threshold, indicating a potential value opportunity based on the model.
Margin of safety is a risk management concept, not an investment recommendation. The 20% threshold follows Benjamin Graham's value investing framework. Fair price and entry levels are model-based estimates updated daily. Learn more about Margin of Safety ↗
VALUATION HISTORY
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P/E RATIO HISTORY
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METHODOLOGY
How we calculate ESRT's fair price
Empire State Realty Trust, Inc.'s fair price of $9.26 is derived from a blended model that combines DCF analysis (50%), relative valuation against Real Estate peers using metrics like P/E and EV/EBITDA (30%), and analyst consensus (20%). At the current market price of $5.67, ESRT trades 63.2% below its calculated fair value.
DCF MODEL · 50%
Discounted free cash flow analysis based on projected cash flows, discounted at a rate reflecting ESRT's risk profile.
RELATIVE · 30%
Comparing ESRT's valuation multiples against Real Estate peers to determine if the stock is over or undervalued relative to its industry.
ANALYST · 20%
Aggregated analyst price targets for ESRT, weighted by recency and analyst accuracy.
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Want to test your own assumptions? Use our free calculators to estimate ESRT's fair value with your own inputs.
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What is the fair price of ESRT?+
Based on our blended model combining DCF analysis (50%), relative valuation against Real Estate peers (30%), and analyst consensus (20%), the fair price for Empire State Realty Trust, Inc. is $9.26. At the current market price of $5.67, ESRT trades 63.2% below its calculated fair value.
Is ESRT overvalued or undervalued?+
Empire State Realty Trust, Inc. is currently undervalued based on our valuation model. The stock trades at $5.67, which is 63.2% below the fair price of $9.26. The P/E ratio of 22.6x is a key metric in the valuation.
What is the margin of safety for ESRT?+
With a 20% margin of safety applied to the fair price of $9.26, the conservative entry level for ESRT is $7.41. At the current market price of $5.67, the stock trades 30.5% below this entry level. Margin of safety is a risk management concept from Benjamin Graham's value investing framework, not an investment recommendation.
How often is ESRT's fair price updated?+
We update fair price calculations for ESRT daily after market close. The current fair price of $9.26 incorporates the latest market data and sector multiples.
What factors affect ESRT's fair price calculation?+
ESRT's fair price of $9.26 is derived from DCF analysis (50% weight), relative valuation against Real Estate peers (30% weight), and analyst consensus (20% weight). Key metrics include P/E of 22.6x, ROE of 5.3%, and dividend yield of 2.50%.
Is ESRT a good buy right now?+
At $5.67, ESRT trades 63.2% below our fair value estimate of $9.26. The stock is currently undervalued. ROE stands at 5.3% (average). Fair Price Index provides valuation data — always do your own research before investing.
Does ESRT pay dividends?+
ESRT has a dividend yield of 2.50%.
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Fair Price Index is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Fair value calculations are model-based estimates and may not reflect actual market conditions. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions.