Diversified Energy Company

DEC is undervalued

NYSE · Energy

FAIR PRICE

76.3%upside

Updated daily

Model: DCF 50% · Relative 30% · Consensus 20%

$13.74

MARKET PRICE

$24.22

FAIR PRICE

$10.48

MARGIN

UNDERFAIROVER

COMMUNITY BUY ZONE

UNLOCKS AT 10

Where does the market buy DEC?

No one has priced DEC yet — be the first. Every investor sets the maximum price they'd still buy at; together that maps the community buy zone.

COMMUNITY MEDIAN

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BUYERS AT TODAY'S PRICE

▓▓ %

0/10 INVESTORS · 10 MORE TO UNLOCK

METRICS

P/E2.9
P/B1.0
P/S0.6
PEG
DIV YIELD8.35%
ROE44.1%
ROIC5.2%
DEBT/EQ0.24
MKT CAP$1B

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FPI RATING

5.6/ 10

Attractive valuation and strong profitability, but limited growth momentum and volatile earnings pattern.

Analytical data, not an investment recommendation. Updated daily.

How we calculate this ↗

MARGIN OF SAFETY

A 20% margin of safety below fair value — the conservative entry level for risk-aware investors.

$19.38CONSERVATIVE ENTRY
$24.22FAIR PRICE
$13.74MARKET PRICE

SAFETY MARGIN

20%

Below fair value

ENTRY LEVEL

$19.38

Fair price × 0.80

DISTANCE

41.0%

Price to entry level

At the current price of $13.74, DEC trades 41.0% below the conservative entry level of $19.38. The stock is currently priced below the 20% margin of safety threshold, indicating a potential value opportunity based on the model.

Margin of safety is a risk management concept, not an investment recommendation. The 20% threshold follows Benjamin Graham's value investing framework. Fair price and entry levels are model-based estimates updated daily. Learn more about Margin of Safety ↗

VALUATION HISTORY

SYNCING FEED

P/E RATIO HISTORY

SYNCING FEED

METHODOLOGY

How we calculate DEC's fair price

Diversified Energy Company's fair price of $24.22 is derived from a blended model that combines DCF analysis (50%), relative valuation against Energy peers using metrics like P/E and EV/EBITDA (30%), and analyst consensus (20%). At the current market price of $13.74, DEC trades 76.3% below its calculated fair value.

DCF MODEL · 50%

Discounted free cash flow analysis based on projected cash flows, discounted at a rate reflecting DEC's risk profile.

RELATIVE · 30%

Comparing DEC's valuation multiples against Energy peers to determine if the stock is over or undervalued relative to its industry.

ANALYST · 20%

Aggregated analyst price targets for DEC, weighted by recency and analyst accuracy.

TRY IT YOURSELF

Want to test your own assumptions? Use our free calculators to estimate DEC's fair value with your own inputs.

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FAQ

What is the fair price of DEC?+

Based on our blended model combining DCF analysis (50%), relative valuation against Energy peers (30%), and analyst consensus (20%), the fair price for Diversified Energy Company is $24.22. At the current market price of $13.74, DEC trades 76.3% below its calculated fair value.

Is DEC overvalued or undervalued?+

Diversified Energy Company is currently undervalued based on our valuation model. The stock trades at $13.74, which is 76.3% below the fair price of $24.22. The P/E ratio of 2.9x is a key metric in the valuation.

What is the margin of safety for DEC?+

With a 20% margin of safety applied to the fair price of $24.22, the conservative entry level for DEC is $19.38. At the current market price of $13.74, the stock trades 41.0% below this entry level. Margin of safety is a risk management concept from Benjamin Graham's value investing framework, not an investment recommendation.

How often is DEC's fair price updated?+

We update fair price calculations for DEC daily after market close. The current fair price of $24.22 incorporates the latest market data and sector multiples.

What factors affect DEC's fair price calculation?+

DEC's fair price of $24.22 is derived from DCF analysis (50% weight), relative valuation against Energy peers (30% weight), and analyst consensus (20% weight). Key metrics include P/E of 2.9x, ROE of 44.1%, and dividend yield of 8.35%.

Is DEC a good buy right now?+

At $13.74, DEC trades 76.3% below our fair value estimate of $24.22. The stock is currently undervalued. ROE stands at 44.1% (exceptional). Fair Price Index provides valuation data — always do your own research before investing.

Does DEC pay dividends?+

DEC has a dividend yield of 8.35%.

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Fair Price Index is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Fair value calculations are model-based estimates and may not reflect actual market conditions. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions.