ConocoPhillips
FAIR PRICE VALUATION
Updated daily
Model: DCF 50% · Relative 30% · Consensus 20%
MARKET PRICE
$127.41
FAIR PRICE
$183.13
MARGIN
$55.72
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FPI RATING
Consistent growth trajectory and strong profitability, but volatile earnings pattern.
Analytical data, not an investment recommendation. Updated daily.
How we calculate this ↗MARGIN OF SAFETY
A 20% margin of safety below fair value — the conservative entry level for risk-aware investors.
SAFETY MARGIN
20%
Below fair value
ENTRY LEVEL
$146.50
Fair price × 0.80
DISTANCE
15.0%
Price to entry level
At the current price of $127.41, COP trades 15.0% below the conservative entry level of $146.50. The stock is currently priced below the 20% margin of safety threshold, indicating a potential value opportunity based on the model.
Margin of safety is a risk management concept, not an investment recommendation. The 20% threshold follows Benjamin Graham's value investing framework. Fair price and entry levels are model-based estimates updated daily. Learn more about Margin of Safety ↗
VALUATION HISTORY
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P/E RATIO HISTORY
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METHODOLOGY
How we calculate COP's fair price
ConocoPhillips's fair price of $183.13 is derived from a blended model that combines DCF analysis (50%), relative valuation against Energy peers using metrics like P/E and EV/EBITDA (30%), and analyst consensus (20%). At the current market price of $127.41, COP trades 43.7% below its calculated fair value.
DCF MODEL · 50%
Discounted free cash flow analysis based on projected cash flows, discounted at a rate reflecting COP's risk profile.
RELATIVE · 30%
Comparing COP's valuation multiples against Energy peers to determine if the stock is over or undervalued relative to its industry.
ANALYST · 20%
Aggregated analyst price targets for COP, weighted by recency and analyst accuracy.
TRY IT YOURSELF
Want to test your own assumptions? Use our free calculators to estimate COP's fair value with your own inputs.
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What is the fair price of COP?+
Based on our blended model combining DCF analysis (50%), relative valuation against Energy peers (30%), and analyst consensus (20%), the fair price for ConocoPhillips is $183.13. At the current market price of $127.41, COP trades 43.7% below its calculated fair value.
Is COP overvalued or undervalued?+
ConocoPhillips is currently undervalued based on our valuation model. The stock trades at $127.41, which is 43.7% below the fair price of $183.13. The P/E ratio of 17.6x is a key metric in the valuation.
What is the margin of safety for COP?+
With a 20% margin of safety applied to the fair price of $183.13, the conservative entry level for COP is $146.50. At the current market price of $127.41, the stock trades 15.0% below this entry level. Margin of safety is a risk management concept from Benjamin Graham's value investing framework, not an investment recommendation.
How often is COP's fair price updated?+
We update fair price calculations for COP daily after market close. The current fair price of $183.13 incorporates the latest market data and sector multiples.
What factors affect COP's fair price calculation?+
COP's fair price of $183.13 is derived from DCF analysis (50% weight), relative valuation against Energy peers (30% weight), and analyst consensus (20% weight). Key metrics include P/E of 17.6x, ROE of 13.6%, and dividend yield of 2.61%.
Is COP a good buy right now?+
At $127.41, COP trades 43.7% below our fair value estimate of $183.13. The stock is currently undervalued. ROE stands at 13.6% (average). Fair Price Index provides valuation data — always do your own research before investing.
Does COP pay dividends?+
COP has a dividend yield of 2.61%.
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Fair Price Index is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Fair value calculations are model-based estimates and may not reflect actual market conditions. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions.