Armstrong World Industries

OVERVALUEDAWI · NYSE · Industrials
AWI·NYSE·Industrials
OVERVALUED
Armstrong World Industries
23.2%downside
MARKET PRICE
$169.16
FAIR PRICE
$129.92
MARGIN
$39.24
UNDERVALUEDFAIROVERVALUED
P/E RATIO
24.3x
DIV. YIELD
0.96%
ROE
37.3%
MARKET CAP
$7B
FPI
fairpriceindex.com

FAIR PRICE VALUATION

23.2%downside

Updated daily

Model: DCF 50% · Relative 30% · Consensus 20%

MARKET PRICE

$169.16

FAIR PRICE

$129.92

MARGIN

$39.24

UNDERVALUEDFAIROVERVALUED

P/E Ratio

24.3x

What is P/E? →

Div. Yield

0.96%

ROE

37.3%

Exceptional

Market Cap

$7B

Mid-cap

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FPI RATING

5.7/ 10

Low debt levels and high-quality fundamentals, but volatile earnings pattern and expensive valuation relative to fundamentals.

Analytical data, not an investment recommendation. Updated daily.

How we calculate this ↗

MARGIN OF SAFETY

A 20% margin of safety below fair value — the conservative entry level for risk-aware investors.

$103.94CONSERVATIVE ENTRY
$129.92FAIR PRICE
$169.16MARKET PRICE

SAFETY MARGIN

20%

Below fair value

ENTRY LEVEL

$103.94

Fair price × 0.80

DISTANCE

38.6%

Price to entry level

At the current price of $169.16, AWI trades 38.6% above the conservative entry level of $103.94. This entry level represents a 20% margin of safety below the calculated fair price of $129.92 — a buffer that accounts for estimation uncertainty in the valuation model.

Margin of safety is a risk management concept, not an investment recommendation. The 20% threshold follows Benjamin Graham's value investing framework. Fair price and entry levels are model-based estimates updated daily. Learn more about Margin of Safety ↗

VALUATION HISTORY

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P/E RATIO HISTORY

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METHODOLOGY

How we calculate AWI's fair price

Armstrong World Industries's fair price of $129.92 is derived from a blended model that combines DCF analysis (50%), relative valuation against Industrials peers using metrics like P/E and EV/EBITDA (30%), and analyst consensus (20%). At the current market price of $169.16, AWI trades 23.2% above its calculated fair value.

DCF MODEL · 50%

Discounted free cash flow analysis based on projected cash flows, discounted at a rate reflecting AWI's risk profile.

RELATIVE · 30%

Comparing AWI's valuation multiples against Industrials peers to determine if the stock is over or undervalued relative to its industry.

ANALYST · 20%

Aggregated analyst price targets for AWI, weighted by recency and analyst accuracy.

TRY IT YOURSELF

Want to test your own assumptions? Use our free calculators to estimate AWI's fair value with your own inputs.

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FAQ

What is the fair price of AWI?+

Based on our blended model combining DCF analysis (50%), relative valuation against Industrials peers (30%), and analyst consensus (20%), the fair price for Armstrong World Industries is $129.92. At the current market price of $169.16, AWI trades 23.2% above its calculated fair value.

Is AWI overvalued or undervalued?+

Armstrong World Industries is currently overvalued based on our valuation model. The stock trades at $169.16, which is 23.2% above the fair price of $129.92. The P/E ratio of 24.3x is a key metric in the valuation.

What is the margin of safety for AWI?+

With a 20% margin of safety applied to the fair price of $129.92, the conservative entry level for AWI is $103.94. At the current market price of $169.16, the stock trades 38.6% above this entry level. Margin of safety is a risk management concept from Benjamin Graham's value investing framework, not an investment recommendation.

How often is AWI's fair price updated?+

We update fair price calculations for AWI daily after market close. The current fair price of $129.92 incorporates the latest market data and sector multiples.

What factors affect AWI's fair price calculation?+

AWI's fair price of $129.92 is derived from DCF analysis (50% weight), relative valuation against Industrials peers (30% weight), and analyst consensus (20% weight). Key metrics include P/E of 24.3x, ROE of 37.3%, and dividend yield of 0.96%.

Is AWI a good buy right now?+

At $169.16, AWI trades 23.2% above our fair value estimate of $129.92. The stock is currently overvalued. ROE stands at 37.3% (exceptional). Fair Price Index provides valuation data — always do your own research before investing.

Does AWI pay dividends?+

AWI has a dividend yield of 0.96%.

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Fair Price Index is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Fair value calculations are model-based estimates and may not reflect actual market conditions. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions.