Allegheny Technologies

ATI is overvalued

NYSE · Industrials

FAIR PRICE

72.3%downside

Updated daily

Model: DCF 50% · Relative 30% · Consensus 20%

$206.94

MARKET PRICE

$57.34

FAIR PRICE

$149.60

MARGIN

UNDERFAIROVER

COMMUNITY BUY ZONE

UNLOCKS AT 10

Where does the market buy ATI?

No one has priced ATI yet — be the first. Every investor sets the maximum price they'd still buy at; together that maps the community buy zone.

COMMUNITY MEDIAN

▓▓▓▓▓

BUYERS AT TODAY'S PRICE

▓▓ %

0/10 INVESTORS · 10 MORE TO UNLOCK

METRICS

P/E59.4
P/B15.0
P/S6.0
PEG7.04
DIV YIELD
ROE26.6%
ROIC12.6%
DEBT/EQ1.17
MKT CAP$28B

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FPI RATING

7.0/ 10

Stable earnings and revenue and high-quality fundamentals, but expensive valuation relative to fundamentals.

Analytical data, not an investment recommendation. Updated daily.

How we calculate this ↗

MARGIN OF SAFETY

A 20% margin of safety below fair value — the conservative entry level for risk-aware investors.

$45.87CONSERVATIVE ENTRY
$57.34FAIR PRICE
$206.94MARKET PRICE

SAFETY MARGIN

20%

Below fair value

ENTRY LEVEL

$45.87

Fair price × 0.80

DISTANCE

77.8%

Price to entry level

At the current price of $206.94, ATI trades 77.8% above the conservative entry level of $45.87. This entry level represents a 20% margin of safety below the calculated fair price of $57.34 — a buffer that accounts for estimation uncertainty in the valuation model.

Margin of safety is a risk management concept, not an investment recommendation. The 20% threshold follows Benjamin Graham's value investing framework. Fair price and entry levels are model-based estimates updated daily. Learn more about Margin of Safety ↗

VALUATION HISTORY

SYNCING FEED

P/E RATIO HISTORY

SYNCING FEED

METHODOLOGY

How we calculate ATI's fair price

Allegheny Technologies's fair price of $57.34 is derived from a blended model that combines DCF analysis (50%), relative valuation against Industrials peers using metrics like P/E and EV/EBITDA (30%), and analyst consensus (20%). At the current market price of $206.94, ATI trades 72.3% above its calculated fair value.

DCF MODEL · 50%

Discounted free cash flow analysis based on projected cash flows, discounted at a rate reflecting ATI's risk profile.

RELATIVE · 30%

Comparing ATI's valuation multiples against Industrials peers to determine if the stock is over or undervalued relative to its industry.

ANALYST · 20%

Aggregated analyst price targets for ATI, weighted by recency and analyst accuracy.

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FAQ

What is the fair price of ATI?+

Based on our blended model combining DCF analysis (50%), relative valuation against Industrials peers (30%), and analyst consensus (20%), the fair price for Allegheny Technologies is $57.34. At the current market price of $206.94, ATI trades 72.3% above its calculated fair value.

Is ATI overvalued or undervalued?+

Allegheny Technologies is currently overvalued based on our valuation model. The stock trades at $206.94, which is 72.3% above the fair price of $57.34. The P/E ratio of 59.4x is a key metric in the valuation.

What is the margin of safety for ATI?+

With a 20% margin of safety applied to the fair price of $57.34, the conservative entry level for ATI is $45.87. At the current market price of $206.94, the stock trades 77.8% above this entry level. Margin of safety is a risk management concept from Benjamin Graham's value investing framework, not an investment recommendation.

How often is ATI's fair price updated?+

We update fair price calculations for ATI daily after market close. The current fair price of $57.34 incorporates the latest market data and sector multiples.

What factors affect ATI's fair price calculation?+

ATI's fair price of $57.34 is derived from DCF analysis (50% weight), relative valuation against Industrials peers (30% weight), and analyst consensus (20% weight). Key metrics include P/E of 59.4x, ROE of 26.6%.

Is ATI a good buy right now?+

At $206.94, ATI trades 72.3% above our fair value estimate of $57.34. The stock is currently overvalued. ROE stands at 26.6% (exceptional). Fair Price Index provides valuation data — always do your own research before investing.

Does ATI pay dividends?+

ATI does not currently pay a dividend.

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Fair Price Index is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Fair value calculations are model-based estimates and may not reflect actual market conditions. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions.