Alliance Resource Partners, L.P.
FAIR PRICE VALUATION
Updated daily
Model: DCF 50% · Relative 30% · Consensus 20%
MARKET PRICE
$26.55
FAIR PRICE
$39.20
MARGIN
$12.65
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FPI RATING
High-quality fundamentals and attractive valuation, but volatile earnings pattern and weak profitability margins.
Analytical data, not an investment recommendation. Updated daily.
How we calculate this ↗MARGIN OF SAFETY
A 20% margin of safety below fair value — the conservative entry level for risk-aware investors.
SAFETY MARGIN
20%
Below fair value
ENTRY LEVEL
$31.36
Fair price × 0.80
DISTANCE
18.1%
Price to entry level
At the current price of $26.55, ARLP trades 18.1% below the conservative entry level of $31.36. The stock is currently priced below the 20% margin of safety threshold, indicating a potential value opportunity based on the model.
Margin of safety is a risk management concept, not an investment recommendation. The 20% threshold follows Benjamin Graham's value investing framework. Fair price and entry levels are model-based estimates updated daily. Learn more about Margin of Safety ↗
VALUATION HISTORY
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P/E RATIO HISTORY
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METHODOLOGY
How we calculate ARLP's fair price
Alliance Resource Partners, L.P.'s fair price of $39.20 is derived from a blended model that combines DCF analysis (50%), relative valuation against Energy peers using metrics like P/E and EV/EBITDA (30%), and analyst consensus (20%). At the current market price of $26.55, ARLP trades 47.6% below its calculated fair value.
DCF MODEL · 50%
Discounted free cash flow analysis based on projected cash flows, discounted at a rate reflecting ARLP's risk profile.
RELATIVE · 30%
Comparing ARLP's valuation multiples against Energy peers to determine if the stock is over or undervalued relative to its industry.
ANALYST · 20%
Aggregated analyst price targets for ARLP, weighted by recency and analyst accuracy.
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Want to test your own assumptions? Use our free calculators to estimate ARLP's fair value with your own inputs.
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What is the fair price of ARLP?+
Based on our blended model combining DCF analysis (50%), relative valuation against Energy peers (30%), and analyst consensus (20%), the fair price for Alliance Resource Partners, L.P. is $39.20. At the current market price of $26.55, ARLP trades 47.6% below its calculated fair value.
Is ARLP overvalued or undervalued?+
Alliance Resource Partners, L.P. is currently undervalued based on our valuation model. The stock trades at $26.55, which is 47.6% below the fair price of $39.20. The P/E ratio of 0.4x is a key metric in the valuation.
What is the margin of safety for ARLP?+
With a 20% margin of safety applied to the fair price of $39.20, the conservative entry level for ARLP is $31.36. At the current market price of $26.55, the stock trades 18.1% below this entry level. Margin of safety is a risk management concept from Benjamin Graham's value investing framework, not an investment recommendation.
How often is ARLP's fair price updated?+
We update fair price calculations for ARLP daily after market close. The current fair price of $39.20 incorporates the latest market data and sector multiples.
What factors affect ARLP's fair price calculation?+
ARLP's fair price of $39.20 is derived from DCF analysis (50% weight), relative valuation against Energy peers (30% weight), and analyst consensus (20% weight). Key metrics include P/E of 0.4x, ROE of 498.6%, and dividend yield of 9.44%.
Is ARLP a good buy right now?+
At $26.55, ARLP trades 47.6% below our fair value estimate of $39.20. The stock is currently undervalued. ROE stands at 498.6% (exceptional). Fair Price Index provides valuation data — always do your own research before investing.
Does ARLP pay dividends?+
ARLP has a dividend yield of 9.44%.
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Fair Price Index is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Fair value calculations are model-based estimates and may not reflect actual market conditions. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions.