Aflac

OVERVALUEDAFL · NYSE · Financial Services
AFL·NYSE·Financial Services
OVERVALUED
Aflac
27.6%downside
MARKET PRICE
$112.31
FAIR PRICE
$81.36
MARGIN
$30.95
UNDERVALUEDFAIROVERVALUED
P/E RATIO
15.2x
DIV. YIELD
2.02%
ROE
15.4%
MARKET CAP
$60B
FPI
fairpriceindex.com

FAIR PRICE VALUATION

27.6%downside

Updated daily

Model: DCF 50% · Relative 30% · Consensus 20%

MARKET PRICE

$112.31

FAIR PRICE

$81.36

MARGIN

$30.95

UNDERVALUEDFAIROVERVALUED

P/E Ratio

15.2x

What is P/E? →

Div. Yield

2.02%

ROE

15.4%

Strong

Market Cap

$60B

Large-cap

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FPI RATING

5.6/ 10

High-quality fundamentals and stable earnings and revenue, but limited growth momentum.

Analytical data, not an investment recommendation. Updated daily.

How we calculate this ↗

MARGIN OF SAFETY

A 20% margin of safety below fair value — the conservative entry level for risk-aware investors.

$65.09CONSERVATIVE ENTRY
$81.36FAIR PRICE
$112.31MARKET PRICE

SAFETY MARGIN

20%

Below fair value

ENTRY LEVEL

$65.09

Fair price × 0.80

DISTANCE

42.0%

Price to entry level

At the current price of $112.31, AFL trades 42.0% above the conservative entry level of $65.09. This entry level represents a 20% margin of safety below the calculated fair price of $81.36 — a buffer that accounts for estimation uncertainty in the valuation model.

Margin of safety is a risk management concept, not an investment recommendation. The 20% threshold follows Benjamin Graham's value investing framework. Fair price and entry levels are model-based estimates updated daily. Learn more about Margin of Safety ↗

VALUATION HISTORY

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P/E RATIO HISTORY

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METHODOLOGY

How we calculate AFL's fair price

Aflac's fair price of $81.36 is derived from a blended model that combines DCF analysis (50%), relative valuation against Financial Services peers using metrics like P/E and EV/EBITDA (30%), and analyst consensus (20%). At the current market price of $112.31, AFL trades 27.6% above its calculated fair value.

DCF MODEL · 50%

Discounted free cash flow analysis based on projected cash flows, discounted at a rate reflecting AFL's risk profile.

RELATIVE · 30%

Comparing AFL's valuation multiples against Financial Services peers to determine if the stock is over or undervalued relative to its industry.

ANALYST · 20%

Aggregated analyst price targets for AFL, weighted by recency and analyst accuracy.

TRY IT YOURSELF

Want to test your own assumptions? Use our free calculators to estimate AFL's fair value with your own inputs.

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FAQ

What is the fair price of AFL?+

Based on our blended model combining DCF analysis (50%), relative valuation against Financial Services peers (30%), and analyst consensus (20%), the fair price for Aflac is $81.36. At the current market price of $112.31, AFL trades 27.6% above its calculated fair value.

Is AFL overvalued or undervalued?+

Aflac is currently overvalued based on our valuation model. The stock trades at $112.31, which is 27.6% above the fair price of $81.36. The P/E ratio of 15.2x is a key metric in the valuation.

What is the margin of safety for AFL?+

With a 20% margin of safety applied to the fair price of $81.36, the conservative entry level for AFL is $65.09. At the current market price of $112.31, the stock trades 42.0% above this entry level. Margin of safety is a risk management concept from Benjamin Graham's value investing framework, not an investment recommendation.

How often is AFL's fair price updated?+

We update fair price calculations for AFL daily after market close. The current fair price of $81.36 incorporates the latest market data and sector multiples.

What factors affect AFL's fair price calculation?+

AFL's fair price of $81.36 is derived from DCF analysis (50% weight), relative valuation against Financial Services peers (30% weight), and analyst consensus (20% weight). Key metrics include P/E of 15.2x, ROE of 15.4%, and dividend yield of 2.02%.

Is AFL a good buy right now?+

At $112.31, AFL trades 27.6% above our fair value estimate of $81.36. The stock is currently overvalued. ROE stands at 15.4% (strong). Fair Price Index provides valuation data — always do your own research before investing.

Does AFL pay dividends?+

AFL has a dividend yield of 2.02%.

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Fair Price Index is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Fair value calculations are model-based estimates and may not reflect actual market conditions. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions.